Otto Virtanen vs Nicolas Mejia
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 04:35
13 Ene 2026, 04:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Otto Virtanen
Otto …: 65,4%
Nicolas …: 34,7%
¿Por qué Otto Virtanen?
UTR 14,87 vs 14,29
(+0,61)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Otto … | Nicolas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,41 | 2,95 | 70,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,53 | 2,89 | 65,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Otto …: -0,9%
Nicolas …: +0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Otto Virtanen
Ranking
#126
UTR Rating
14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/30 = 53,3%
Nicolas Mejia
Ranking
#169
UTR Rating
14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#239
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
43% (7p)
WR Hard
15/33 = 45,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 44,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3548 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3037 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 144,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 77,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,8788 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,9952 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9091 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45,4545 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,9459 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 18,5160 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,8770 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,8139 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,5667 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,7394 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6,1667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 64,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 180,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5962 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4167 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,8396 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 16,3214 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,3926 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0107 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0015 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7329 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,1968 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22690
API ID
15345392
Gamdom ID
589657
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22690,
"api_id": 15345392,
"gamdom_id": 589657,
"player1": "Otto Virtanen",
"player2": "Nicolas Mejia",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T00:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 2.95
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.38,
"p2": 2.95
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6535,
"prob_p2": 0.3465,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6535,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 126,
"utr_singles": 14.87,
"utr_ranking": 100,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 169,
"utr_singles": 14.29,
"utr_ranking": 239,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.87,
"ranking": 100,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.29,
"ranking": 239,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8047058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.7329411764705883,
"utr_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 1.3548387096774193,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 144,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.566666666666663,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.45454545454545,
"utr_advantage": 4.1967664258685895,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 77,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.303682413798222,
"rank_advantage": 44,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4166666666666667,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.8787878787878824,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.739393939393942,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": 18.51599999999999,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5961538461538461,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.166666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.876969696969681,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.8396479960603678,
"serve_consistency_p2": 16.32143308474002,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.3926493208344772,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.94594594594595,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.813939393939393,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9090909090909091,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.799999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 64,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 180,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.010666666666666713,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0014545454545454306,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.995230524642288,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}