Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Henry Bernet
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 05:15
13 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Pablo …: 75,1%
Henry …: 24,9%
¿Por qué Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
UTR 14,56 vs 14,09
(+0,66)
— Niveles similares
Pablo …
Sin datos
Henry …
W34-L10
77% WR
vs UTR 13,5
L2
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pablo … | Henry … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,65 | 2,26 | 60,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,33 | 4,02 | 75,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Pablo …: +19,4%
Henry …: -19,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Ranking
#213
UTR Rating
14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#155
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
5/10 = 50,0%
Henry Bernet
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
14,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#337
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Sin datos UTR v4
Henry Bernet
Record 2025
34W - 10L (77%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
13,5
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 289,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,3697 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8627 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 274,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 369,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,7619 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -22,8900 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -12,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,3300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 96,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 71,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5085 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4561 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,4471 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14,3792 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2890 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1223 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7118 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,5897 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22691
API ID
15345388
Gamdom ID
589658
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22691,
"api_id": 15345388,
"gamdom_id": 589658,
"player1": "Pablo Llamas Ruiz",
"player2": "Henry Bernet",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T01:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.26
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7511,
"prob_p2": 0.2489,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7511,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 213,
"utr_singles": 14.56,
"utr_ranking": 155,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 14.09,
"utr_ranking": 337,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 34,
"utr_v4_losses": 10,
"utr_v4_wr": 77.27272727272727,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.47,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.96,
"opponent_name": "Giles Hussey"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 15.32,
"opponent_name": "Jan-Lennard Struff"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 14.7,
"opponent_name": "Thiago Agustin Tirante"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 15.63,
"opponent_name": "Jakub Mensik"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.48,
"opponent_name": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:37.769015+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.56,
"ranking": 155,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.09,
"ranking": 337,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7894117647058825,
"utr_p2": 0.7117647058823531,
"utr_diff": 0.6600000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 2.3696682464454977,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": 274,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.099999999999994,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 4.58970792767733,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 369,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8627499649461252,
"rank_advantage": 289,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.330000000000005,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": -22.889999999999993,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5084745762711864,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -12.299999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.456050579709229,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.447143917682091,
"surface_rank_synergy": 14.379166082435423,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.800000000000004,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.3333333333333335,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.25,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 96,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 71,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.28900000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1223333333333333,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.761904761904763,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}