Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Henry Bernet
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Pablo …: 75,1% Henry …: 24,9%
¿Por qué Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
UTR 14,56 vs 14,09 (+0,66) — Niveles similares
Pablo …
Sin datos
Henry …
W34-L10
77% WR
vs UTR 13,5
L2
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pablo … Henry … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
Gamdom 1,65 2,26 60,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,33 4,02 75,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Pablo …: +19,4% Henry …: -19,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Ranking #213
UTR Rating 14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #155
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 5/10 = 50,0%
Henry Bernet
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 14,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #337
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Sin datos UTR v4
Henry Bernet
Record 2025 34W - 10L (77%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 13,5
Últimos 5:
L L W L L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 289,0000
rank_ratio 2,3697
log_rank_ratio 0,8627
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 274,0000
best_rank_diff 369,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,7619
surface_matches_ratio 3,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,8571
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,3867
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -22,8900
first_serve_won_diff -12,3000
second_serve_won_diff -5,8000
bp_saved_diff -6,1000
bp_converted_diff -6,3300
aces_per_match_diff -7,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,2500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 96,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 71,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5085
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,4561
serve_consistency_p2 4,4471
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 14,3792
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2890
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1223
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6600
utr_p1 0,7894
utr_p2 0,7118
utr_advantage 4,5897
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22691
API ID 15345388
Gamdom ID 589658
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22691,
    "api_id": 15345388,
    "gamdom_id": 589658,
    "player1": "Pablo Llamas Ruiz",
    "player2": "Henry Bernet",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T01:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.26
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.23
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7511,
    "prob_p2": 0.2489,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7511,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 213,
      "utr_singles": 14.56,
      "utr_ranking": 155,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 14.09,
      "utr_ranking": 337,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 34,
      "utr_v4_losses": 10,
      "utr_v4_wr": 77.27272727272727,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.47,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.96,
          "opponent_name": "Giles Hussey"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 15.32,
          "opponent_name": "Jan-Lennard Struff"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.7,
          "opponent_name": "Thiago Agustin Tirante"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 15.63,
          "opponent_name": "Jakub Mensik"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.48,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:37.769015+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.56,
      "ranking": 155,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.09,
      "ranking": 337,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7894117647058825,
    "utr_p2": 0.7117647058823531,
    "utr_diff": 0.6600000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 2.3696682464454977,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 274,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.099999999999994,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 4.58970792767733,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 369,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8627499649461252,
    "rank_advantage": 289,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.330000000000005,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": -22.889999999999993,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5084745762711864,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -12.299999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.456050579709229,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.447143917682091,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 14.379166082435423,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.800000000000004,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.3333333333333335,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.25,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 96,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 71,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.28900000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1223333333333333,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.761904761904763,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}