Pavle Marinkov vs James McCabe
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
James McCabe
Pavle …: 38,8%
James …: 61,2%
¿Por qué James McCabe?
UTR 13,25 vs 14,15
(-0,70)
— Niveles similares
Pavle …
W33-L29
53% WR
vs UTR 13,3
L1
James …
Sin datos
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pavle … | James … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,00 | 1,13 | 16,7% |
| Gamdom | 5,80 | 1,14 | 17,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,58 | 1,63 | 38,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Pavle …: +23,0%
James …: -23,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pavle Marinkov
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#878
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
4/11 = 36,4%
James McCabe
Ranking
#173
UTR Rating
14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#303
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
20/42 = 47,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Pavle Marinkov
Record 2025
33W - 29L (53%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
L
James McCabe
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -312,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3760 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,9782 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -309,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -336,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,2554 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,6609 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2619 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 36,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,8261 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2727 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,1686 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,6190 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 10,3905 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -20,5571 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 18,0048 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,2381 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,5240 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 370,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 105,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7467 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2941 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,8696 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11,0097 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1756 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3358 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6200 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7024 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,1395 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22692
API ID
15345362
Gamdom ID
589667
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22692,
"api_id": 15345362,
"gamdom_id": 589667,
"player1": "Pavle Marinkov",
"player2": "James McCabe",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.0,
"p2": 1.125
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.8,
"p2": 1.14
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 5.55,
"p2": 1.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3876,
"prob_p2": 0.6124,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6124,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.25,
"utr_ranking": 878,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 33,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 53.2258064516129,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.26,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.61,
"opponent_name": "Alex Bolt"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.81,
"opponent_name": "Blake Ellis"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.06,
"opponent_name": "Finn Bass"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.73,
"opponent_name": "Kody Pearson"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.77,
"opponent_name": "Jason Kubler"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:10.636775+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 173,
"utr_singles": 14.15,
"utr_ranking": 303,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.25,
"ranking": 878,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.15,
"ranking": 303,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.62,
"utr_p2": 0.7023529411764706,
"utr_diff": -0.7000000000000011,
"rank_ratio": 0.376,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -309,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -20.557142857142864,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 36.36363636363637,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.61904761904761,
"utr_advantage": -5.139500734214398,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -336,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.9781661355922425,
"rank_advantage": -312,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.29411764705882354,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.255411255411246,
"bp_converted_diff": 18.004761904761907,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 42,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.1685714285714255,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7466666666666667,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.2380952380952372,
"combined_confidence": 0.7233333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.6190476190476204,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.86956298709966,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.00966213220705,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.82608695652174,
"second_serve_won_diff": 10.390476190476193,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2619047619047619,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.5240000000000009,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 370,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 105,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1756363636363637,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.33580952380952395,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.660869565217394,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}