Pavle Marinkov vs James McCabe
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
James McCabe
Pavle …: 38,8% James …: 61,2%
¿Por qué James McCabe?
UTR 13,25 vs 14,15 (-0,70) — Niveles similares
Pavle …
W33-L29
53% WR
vs UTR 13,3
L1
James …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pavle … James … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,00 1,13 16,7%
Gamdom 5,80 1,14 17,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,58 1,63 38,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Pavle …: +23,0% James …: -23,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pavle Marinkov
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #878
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 4/11 = 36,4%
James McCabe
Ranking #173
UTR Rating 14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #303
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 20/42 = 47,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Pavle Marinkov
Record 2025 33W - 29L (53%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,3
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
James McCabe
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -312,0000
rank_ratio 0,3760
log_rank_ratio -0,9782
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -309,0000
best_rank_diff -336,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,2554
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,6609
surface_matches_ratio 0,2619
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 36,3636
surface_wr_p2 47,6190
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,8261
p1_surface_matches 11,0000
p2_surface_matches 42,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2727
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4467
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,1686
first_serve_won_diff -1,6190
second_serve_won_diff 10,3905
bp_saved_diff -20,5571
bp_converted_diff 18,0048
aces_per_match_diff -3,2381
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,5240
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 370,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 105,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7467
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2941
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 3,8696
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,0097
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1756
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3358
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7000
utr_p1 0,6200
utr_p2 0,7024
utr_advantage -5,1395
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22692
API ID 15345362
Gamdom ID 589667
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22692,
    "api_id": 15345362,
    "gamdom_id": 589667,
    "player1": "Pavle Marinkov",
    "player2": "James McCabe",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.0,
      "p2": 1.125
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.8,
      "p2": 1.14
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.55,
      "p2": 1.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3876,
    "prob_p2": 0.6124,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6124,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.25,
      "utr_ranking": 878,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 33,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.2258064516129,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.26,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.61,
          "opponent_name": "Alex Bolt"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.81,
          "opponent_name": "Blake Ellis"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.06,
          "opponent_name": "Finn Bass"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.73,
          "opponent_name": "Kody Pearson"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.77,
          "opponent_name": "Jason Kubler"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:10.636775+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 173,
      "utr_singles": 14.15,
      "utr_ranking": 303,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.25,
      "ranking": 878,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.15,
      "ranking": 303,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.62,
    "utr_p2": 0.7023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": -0.7000000000000011,
    "rank_ratio": 0.376,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -309,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -20.557142857142864,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 36.36363636363637,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.61904761904761,
    "utr_advantage": -5.139500734214398,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -336,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.9781661355922425,
    "rank_advantage": -312,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.29411764705882354,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.255411255411246,
    "bp_converted_diff": 18.004761904761907,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 42,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.1685714285714255,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7466666666666667,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.2380952380952372,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7233333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.6190476190476204,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.86956298709966,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 11.00966213220705,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.82608695652174,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 10.390476190476193,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2619047619047619,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.5240000000000009,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 370,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 105,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1756363636363637,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.33580952380952395,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.660869565217394,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}