Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 09:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Rodrigo …: 51,9% Adolfo …: 48,1%
¿Por qué Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
UTR 14,08 vs 14,78 (-0,66) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Rodrigo … Adolfo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,20 1,68 45,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,92 2,08 51,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Rodrigo …: +9,6% Adolfo …: -9,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Ranking #234
UTR Rating 14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #339
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 5/13 = 38,5%
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Ranking #146
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #108
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -86,0000
rank_ratio 0,6245
log_rank_ratio -0,4709
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -181,0000
best_rank_diff -53,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,4615
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,2824
surface_matches_ratio 3,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 38,4615
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 41,1765
surface_wr_p2_stable 49,1176
p1_surface_matches 13,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2308
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4733
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,4133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,6469
first_serve_won_diff 8,4000
second_serve_won_diff 2,9000
bp_saved_diff 1,7000
bp_converted_diff 0,5000
aces_per_match_diff 1,7885
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,9060
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 63,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 59,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,9795
serve_consistency_p2 8,6457
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,3387
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0294
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3360
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6600
utr_p1 0,7259
utr_p2 0,8035
utr_advantage -4,5517
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22693
API ID 15345417
Gamdom ID 589661
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22693,
    "api_id": 15345417,
    "gamdom_id": 589661,
    "player1": "Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez",
    "player2": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T05:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.68
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.15,
      "p2": 1.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5195,
    "prob_p2": 0.4805,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5195,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 234,
      "utr_singles": 14.08,
      "utr_ranking": 339,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 38.46153846153847,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 146,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 108,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.08,
      "ranking": 339,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 108,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7258823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.8035294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.6600000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6244541484716157,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -181,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.7000000000000028,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 38.46153846153847,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": -4.551724137931036,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -53,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.4708773732943323,
    "rank_advantage": -86,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.461538461538467,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 13,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.646923076923073,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.7884615384615383,
    "combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 8.399999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.23076923076923078,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.979488943915452,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.645735238625567,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.338733871269861,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.17647058823529,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.11764705882353,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.906,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 63,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.029384615384615342,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.33599999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.2823529411764722,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}