Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Ryan Peniston
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 11:05
13 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roman …: 56,1%
Ryan …: 43,9%
¿Por qué Roman Andres Burruchaga?
UTR 14,76 vs 14,14
(+0,65)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Roman … | Ryan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,51 | 2,60 | 66,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,78 | 2,28 | 56,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Roman …: -8,4%
Ryan …: +8,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#119
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Ryan Peniston
Ranking
#219
UTR Rating
14,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#312
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 114,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0962 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7401 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 344,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,5238 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,6384 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,3810 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,8323 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,8681 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,8619 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,6476 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -11,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,0524 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5714 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 45,0500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9291 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4229 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -7,0486 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1854 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1378 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -9,5238 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7988 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7224 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,4936 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22694
API ID
15345415
Gamdom ID
589664
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22694,
"api_id": 15345415,
"gamdom_id": 589664,
"player1": "Roman Andres Burruchaga",
"player2": "Ryan Peniston",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T07:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.48
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5609,
"prob_p2": 0.4391,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5609,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 104,
"utr_singles": 14.76,
"utr_ranking": 119,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 219,
"utr_singles": 14.14,
"utr_ranking": 312,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.76,
"ranking": 119,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.14,
"ranking": 312,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7223529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.6499999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 2.0961538461538463,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": 344,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -11.099999999999994,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.38095238095239,
"utr_advantage": 4.493605254061518,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7401041636477164,
"rank_advantage": 114,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.523809523809533,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.05238095238095,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.868095238095243,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.571428571428571,
"combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.861904761904761,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.929067908078863,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.422934222591678,
"surface_rank_synergy": -7.04861108235921,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.83226632522407,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.647619047619052,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 45.05000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -9.523809523809533,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.18542857142857144,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13780952380952383,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.6383610755441758,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}