Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Ryan Peniston
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roman …: 56,1% Ryan …: 43,9%
¿Por qué Roman Andres Burruchaga?
UTR 14,76 vs 14,14 (+0,65) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Roman … Ryan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,51 2,60 66,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,78 2,28 56,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Roman …: -8,4% Ryan …: +8,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Ranking #104
UTR Rating 14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #119
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Ryan Peniston
Ranking #219
UTR Rating 14,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #312
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Hard 11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 114,0000
rank_ratio 2,0962
log_rank_ratio 0,7401
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 344,0000
best_rank_diff 19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,5238
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,6384
surface_matches_ratio 0,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 52,3810
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,8323
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,5467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,8681
first_serve_won_diff 6,8619
second_serve_won_diff 7,6476
bp_saved_diff -11,1000
bp_converted_diff 7,0524
aces_per_match_diff 2,5714
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 45,0500
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 58,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 62,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,9291
serve_consistency_p2 9,4229
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,0486
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1854
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1378
elite_surface_amplifier -9,5238
UTR
utr_diff 0,6500
utr_p1 0,7988
utr_p2 0,7224
utr_advantage 4,4936
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22694
API ID 15345415
Gamdom ID 589664
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22694,
    "api_id": 15345415,
    "gamdom_id": 589664,
    "player1": "Roman Andres Burruchaga",
    "player2": "Ryan Peniston",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T07:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.51,
      "p2": 2.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.48
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5609,
    "prob_p2": 0.4391,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5609,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 104,
      "utr_singles": 14.76,
      "utr_ranking": 119,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 219,
      "utr_singles": 14.14,
      "utr_ranking": 312,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.76,
      "ranking": 119,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.14,
      "ranking": 312,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7988235294117646,
    "utr_p2": 0.7223529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.6499999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 2.0961538461538463,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 344,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.099999999999994,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.38095238095239,
    "utr_advantage": 4.493605254061518,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7401041636477164,
    "rank_advantage": 114,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.523809523809533,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.05238095238095,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.868095238095243,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.571428571428571,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.861904761904761,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.929067908078863,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.422934222591678,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.04861108235921,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.83226632522407,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.647619047619052,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 45.05000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -9.523809523809533,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.18542857142857144,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13780952380952383,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.6383610755441758,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}