Tomás Barrios Vera vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:40
13 Ene 2026, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomás Barrios Vera
Tomás …: 50,8%
Sascha …: 49,2%
¿Por qué Tomás Barrios Vera?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tomás … | Sascha … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,51 | 2,55 | 66,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,97 | 2,03 | 50,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tomás …: -13,7%
Sascha …: +13,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomás Barrios Vera
Ranking
#107
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Ranking
#199
UTR Rating
14,28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#251
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
20/38 = 52,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 89,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8241 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6011 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 260,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 100,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,7744 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,3008 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1842 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,5138 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,3810 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6967 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,4014 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,8789 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,3316 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,3632 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,4737 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,4812 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,3600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 65,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,7597 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8630 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,8751 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1604 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1153 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7365 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22696
API ID
15345368
Gamdom ID
589672
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22696,
"api_id": 15345368,
"gamdom_id": 589672,
"player1": "Tom\u00e1s Barrios Vera",
"player2": "Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T03:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.48,
"p2": 2.72
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5077,
"prob_p2": 0.4923,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5077,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 107,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 199,
"utr_singles": 14.28,
"utr_ranking": 251,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.63157894736842,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.28,
"ranking": 251,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7364705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.7364705882352941,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.8240740740740742,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 260,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.363157894736844,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.63157894736842,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 100,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6010725016137689,
"rank_advantage": 89,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.774436090225564,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.473684210526315,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.401353383458648,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.4812030075187965,
"combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.878947368421052,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.759747332218101,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.863009713254927,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.875144752615786,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.51383399209486,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.38095238095239,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.3315789473684205,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.18421052631578946,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.3599999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 65,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16042857142857142,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11531578947368415,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.3007591442374105,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}