Tomás Barrios Vera vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomás Barrios Vera
Tomás …: 50,8% Sascha …: 49,2%
¿Por qué Tomás Barrios Vera?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tomás … Sascha … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,51 2,55 66,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,97 2,03 50,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Tomás …: -13,7% Sascha …: +13,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomás Barrios Vera
Ranking #107
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Ranking #199
UTR Rating 14,28 Pro
UTR Ranking #251
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 20/38 = 52,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 89,0000
rank_ratio 1,8241
log_rank_ratio 0,6011
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 260,0000
best_rank_diff 100,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,7744
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,3008
surface_matches_ratio 0,1842
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 52,6316
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,5138
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,3810
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6967
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,4014
first_serve_won_diff -6,8789
second_serve_won_diff -3,3316
bp_saved_diff 2,3632
bp_converted_diff 3,4737
aces_per_match_diff -2,4812
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,3600
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 58,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 65,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 10,7597
serve_consistency_p2 7,8630
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,8751
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1604
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1153
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7365
utr_p2 0,7365
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22696
API ID 15345368
Gamdom ID 589672
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22696,
    "api_id": 15345368,
    "gamdom_id": 589672,
    "player1": "Tom\u00e1s Barrios Vera",
    "player2": "Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T03:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.51,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.72
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5077,
    "prob_p2": 0.4923,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5077,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 107,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 199,
      "utr_singles": 14.28,
      "utr_ranking": 251,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.63157894736842,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.28,
      "ranking": 251,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7364705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.7364705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.8240740740740742,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 260,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.363157894736844,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.63157894736842,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": 100,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6010725016137689,
    "rank_advantage": 89,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.774436090225564,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.473684210526315,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.401353383458648,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.4812030075187965,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.878947368421052,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.759747332218101,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.863009713254927,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.875144752615786,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.51383399209486,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.38095238095239,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.3315789473684205,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.18421052631578946,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.3599999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 65,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16042857142857142,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11531578947368415,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.3007591442374105,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}