Vitaliy Sachko vs Michael Mmoh
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Michael Mmoh
Vitaliy …: 47,9% Michael …: 52,1%
¿Por qué Michael Mmoh?
UTR 14,19 vs 14,54 (-0,14) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Vitaliy … Michael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,60 1,46 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,09 1,92 47,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Vitaliy …: +12,4% Michael …: -12,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vitaliy Sachko
Ranking #166
UTR Rating 14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #288
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Michael Mmoh
Ranking #228
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #190
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 13/24 = 54,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 119,0000
rank_ratio 1,7169
log_rank_ratio 0,5405
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 165,0000
best_rank_diff -75,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,3205
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,1984
surface_matches_ratio 1,0833
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 54,1667
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,5714
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,3705
first_serve_won_diff 3,5154
second_serve_won_diff -0,3846
bp_saved_diff 5,1154
bp_converted_diff -1,2654
aces_per_match_diff -2,0064
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -30,8300
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 8,0596
serve_consistency_p2 6,9163
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1732
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0805
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1607
elite_surface_amplifier -0,3205
UTR
utr_diff -0,1400
utr_p1 0,7294
utr_p2 0,7459
utr_advantage -0,9811
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22697
API ID 15345371
Gamdom ID 589631
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22697,
    "api_id": 15345371,
    "gamdom_id": 589631,
    "player1": "Vitaliy Sachko",
    "player2": "Michael Mmoh",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.67,
      "p2": 1.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4793,
    "prob_p2": 0.5207,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5207,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 166,
      "utr_singles": 14.19,
      "utr_ranking": 288,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 228,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 190,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.19,
      "ranking": 288,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.54,
      "ranking": 190,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7294117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.7458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": -0.14000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 1.716867469879518,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 165,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.115384615384613,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -29.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.166666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9810791871058204,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -75,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5405013919121073,
    "rank_advantage": 119,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.3205128205128176,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.265384615384626,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.370512820512822,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.006410256410256,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.5153846153846047,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.059606474002008,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.9163493921822035,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.17323762561285333,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.3846153846153797,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0833333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -30.82999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.3205128205128176,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08053846153846156,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16066666666666662,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.19841269841269477,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}