Yibing Wu vs Mitchell Krueger
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 04:30
13 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yibing Wu
Yibing …: 86,6%
Mitchell …: 13,4%
¿Por qué Yibing Wu?
UTR 15,13 vs 14,41
(+0,35)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yibing … | Mitchell … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,29 | 3,50 | 77,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,26 | 3,95 | 79,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,16 | 7,45 | 86,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yibing …: +13,4%
Mitchell …: -13,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yibing Wu
Ranking
#168
UTR Rating
15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#74
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/31 = 74,2%
Mitchell Krueger
Ranking
#205
UTR Rating
14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#201
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
16/35 = 45,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 24,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1341 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1258 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 38,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 81,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 28,4793 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 25,2747 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 74,1935 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,1538 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4839 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,9848 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,6714 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,0314 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,8286 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,6314 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0793 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,9350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 143,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0652 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,7784 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,3236 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,5833 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2179 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0189 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 28,4793 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7506 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,4047 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22698
API ID
15345401
Gamdom ID
589624
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22698,
"api_id": 15345401,
"gamdom_id": 589624,
"player1": "Yibing Wu",
"player2": "Mitchell Krueger",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2857142857142856,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.95
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.78
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8657,
"prob_p2": 0.1343,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8657,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 168,
"utr_singles": 15.13,
"utr_ranking": 74,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 205,
"utr_singles": 14.41,
"utr_ranking": 201,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.714285714285715,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.13,
"ranking": 74,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.41,
"ranking": 201,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7505882352941178,
"utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 1.1340782122905029,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 38,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.828571428571422,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -18.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 74.19354838709677,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.714285714285715,
"utr_advantage": 2.404671934043282,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 81,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.12582017320103242,
"rank_advantage": 24,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 28.479262672811053,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.6314285714285646,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.984811059907841,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.065217391304348,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.07926267281106,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.671428571428578,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4838709677419355,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.778419526434366,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.323594241784576,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.583265762130784,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.15384615384615,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.031428571428563,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8857142857142857,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.934999999999988,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 28.479262672811053,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 143,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21793548387096762,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01885714285714285,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 25.274725274725277,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}