Yibing Wu vs Mitchell Krueger
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yibing Wu
Yibing …: 86,6% Mitchell …: 13,4%
¿Por qué Yibing Wu?
UTR 15,13 vs 14,41 (+0,35) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yibing … Mitchell … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,29 3,50 77,8%
Gamdom 1,26 3,95 79,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,45 86,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Yibing …: +13,4% Mitchell …: -13,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yibing Wu
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #74
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/31 = 74,2%
Mitchell Krueger
Ranking #205
UTR Rating 14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #201
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 16/35 = 45,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 24,0000
rank_ratio 1,1341
log_rank_ratio 0,1258
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 38,0000
best_rank_diff 81,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 28,4793
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 25,2747
surface_matches_ratio 0,8857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 74,1935
surface_wr_p2 45,7143
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,1538
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4839
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,9848
first_serve_won_diff -2,6714
second_serve_won_diff 5,0314
bp_saved_diff -3,8286
bp_converted_diff 1,6314
aces_per_match_diff -2,0793
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,9350
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 143,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0652
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 11,7784
serve_consistency_p2 11,3236
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,5833
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2179
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0189
elite_surface_amplifier 28,4793
UTR
utr_diff 0,3500
utr_p1 0,7918
utr_p2 0,7506
utr_advantage 2,4047
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22698
API ID 15345401
Gamdom ID 589624
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22698,
    "api_id": 15345401,
    "gamdom_id": 589624,
    "player1": "Yibing Wu",
    "player2": "Mitchell Krueger",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2857142857142856,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.78
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8657,
    "prob_p2": 0.1343,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8657,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 15.13,
      "utr_ranking": 74,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 205,
      "utr_singles": 14.41,
      "utr_ranking": 201,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.714285714285715,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.13,
      "ranking": 74,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.41,
      "ranking": 201,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.791764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.7505882352941178,
    "utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1340782122905029,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 38,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.828571428571422,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 74.19354838709677,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.714285714285715,
    "utr_advantage": 2.404671934043282,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 81,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.12582017320103242,
    "rank_advantage": 24,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 28.479262672811053,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.6314285714285646,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.984811059907841,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.065217391304348,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.07926267281106,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.671428571428578,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4838709677419355,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.778419526434366,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.323594241784576,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.583265762130784,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.15384615384615,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.031428571428563,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8857142857142857,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.934999999999988,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 28.479262672811053,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 143,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21793548387096762,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01885714285714285,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 25.274725274725277,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}