Yosuke Watanuki vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Yosuke …: 27,6% Nicolai …: 72,4%
¿Por qué Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yosuke … Nicolai … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 2,08 1,76 48,1%
IA Fair Odds 3,63 1,38 27,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Yosuke …: -18,8% Nicolai …: +18,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yosuke Watanuki
Ranking #162
UTR Rating 14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking #195
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 24/45 = 53,3%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking #135
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 25/35 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -26,0000
rank_ratio 0,8385
log_rank_ratio -0,1761
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -84,0000
best_rank_diff 60,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,0952
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -16,1695
surface_matches_ratio 1,2857
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 71,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,0612
surface_wr_p2_stable 69,2308
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,7952
first_serve_won_diff 1,6810
second_serve_won_diff 1,9444
bp_saved_diff 0,6060
bp_converted_diff -5,0940
aces_per_match_diff 1,6857
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 21,2500
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 46,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 23,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6923
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 3,8297
serve_consistency_p2 7,0154
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,1871
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0593
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1883
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7576
utr_p2 0,7576
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22699
API ID 15345369
Gamdom ID 589676
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22699,
    "api_id": 15345369,
    "gamdom_id": 589676,
    "player1": "Yosuke Watanuki",
    "player2": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.08,
      "p2": 1.76
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.06,
      "p2": 1.71
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2757,
    "prob_p2": 0.7243,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7243,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 162,
      "utr_singles": 14.42,
      "utr_ranking": 195,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 135,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.42,
      "ranking": 195,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7576470588235293,
    "utr_p2": 0.7576470588235293,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8385093167701864,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -84,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.6060317460317464,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 31.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 71.42857142857143,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 60,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1761295865460335,
    "rank_advantage": -26,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6923076923076923,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.095238095238095,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.093968253968249,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.795238095238091,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.685714285714286,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.6809523809523768,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.829684878199501,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.015423809117942,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.1871068041663206,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.06122448979592,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.23076923076923,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.9444444444444429,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 21.25,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 46,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05933333333333335,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18828571428571428,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.169544740973308,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}