Zdenek Kolar vs Arthur Gea
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 11:40
13 Ene 2026, 11:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zdenek Kolar
Zdenek …: 61,8%
Arthur …: 38,3%
¿Por qué Zdenek Kolar?
UTR 14,42 vs 14,57
(+0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Zdenek … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,25 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 3,90 | 1,26 | 25,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,62 | 2,61 | 61,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Zdenek …: +36,8%
Arthur …: -36,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zdenek Kolar
Ranking
#176
UTR Rating
14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#192
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
3/5 = 60,0%
Arthur Gea
Ranking
#198
UTR Rating
14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#170
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 65,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3693 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3143 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 98,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 113,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,7932 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4167 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,1852 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,6558 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,3833 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,6583 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,7167 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,9083 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,4833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,5450 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 47,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 88,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3391 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4270 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,7624 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0350 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0183 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 18,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7329 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,6725 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22700
API ID
15345421
Gamdom ID
589674
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22700,
"api_id": 15345421,
"gamdom_id": 589674,
"player1": "Zdenek Kolar",
"player2": "Arthur Gea",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T07:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.9,
"p2": 1.26
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.67,
"p2": 1.26
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6175,
"prob_p2": 0.3825,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6175,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 176,
"utr_singles": 14.42,
"utr_ranking": 192,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 198,
"utr_singles": 14.57,
"utr_ranking": 170,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.42,
"ranking": 192,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.57,
"ranking": 170,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7329411764705883,
"utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 1.3693181818181819,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": 98,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.716666666666654,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_advantage": 1.6724738675958202,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 113,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.31431293845250324,
"rank_advantage": 65,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.908333333333335,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.65583333333334,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.483333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.383333333333347,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.339148221629856,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.427043784077725,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.762403871629225,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.18518518518518,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.6583333333333243,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4166666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.545000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 18.33333333333333,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 47,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 88,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03500000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.018333333333333313,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.793209876543209,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}