Zdenek Kolar vs Arthur Gea
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 11:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zdenek Kolar
Zdenek …: 61,8% Arthur …: 38,3%
¿Por qué Zdenek Kolar?
UTR 14,42 vs 14,57 (+0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zdenek … Arthur … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,25 26,7%
Gamdom 3,90 1,26 25,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,62 2,61 61,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Zdenek …: +36,8% Arthur …: -36,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zdenek Kolar
Ranking #176
UTR Rating 14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking #192
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 3/5 = 60,0%
Arthur Gea
Ranking #198
UTR Rating 14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #170
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 65,0000
rank_ratio 1,3693
log_rank_ratio 0,3143
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 98,0000
best_rank_diff 113,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,7932
surface_matches_ratio 0,4167
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,1852
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,6558
first_serve_won_diff -10,3833
second_serve_won_diff -1,6583
bp_saved_diff 9,7167
bp_converted_diff 10,9083
aces_per_match_diff -1,4833
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,5450
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 47,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 88,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3391
serve_consistency_p2 9,4270
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,7624
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0350
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0183
elite_surface_amplifier 18,3333
UTR
utr_diff 0,2400
utr_p1 0,7612
utr_p2 0,7329
utr_advantage 1,6725
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22700
API ID 15345421
Gamdom ID 589674
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22700,
    "api_id": 15345421,
    "gamdom_id": 589674,
    "player1": "Zdenek Kolar",
    "player2": "Arthur Gea",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T07:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.9,
      "p2": 1.26
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.67,
      "p2": 1.26
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6175,
    "prob_p2": 0.3825,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6175,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 176,
      "utr_singles": 14.42,
      "utr_ranking": 192,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 198,
      "utr_singles": 14.57,
      "utr_ranking": 170,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.42,
      "ranking": 192,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.57,
      "ranking": 170,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.7329411764705883,
    "utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3693181818181819,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": 98,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.716666666666654,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": 1.6724738675958202,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 113,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.31431293845250324,
    "rank_advantage": 65,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 18.33333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.908333333333335,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.65583333333334,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.483333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -10.383333333333347,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.339148221629856,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.427043784077725,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.762403871629225,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.18518518518518,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.6583333333333243,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4166666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.545000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 18.33333333333333,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 47,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 88,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03500000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.018333333333333313,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.793209876543209,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}