Alana Subasic vs Lola Radivojevic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lola Radivojevic
Alana …: 49,9%
Lola …: 50,1%
¿Por qué Lola Radivojevic?
UTR 10,41 vs 11,99
(-1,54)
— Ligera ventaja
Alana …
W41-L28
59% WR
vs UTR 10,0
L4
Lola …
Sin datos
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alana … | Lola … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 10,00 | 1,06 | 10,0% |
| Gamdom | 11,00 | 1,06 | 9,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,00 | 2,00 | 49,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alana …: +40,3%
Lola …: -40,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alana Subasic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#848
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Lola Radivojevic
Ranking
#137
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#108
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
0/5 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alana Subasic
Record 2025
41W - 28L (59%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
10,0
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Lola Radivojevic
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -363,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2740 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2946 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -517,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -363,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,9114 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36,1905 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 33,6111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,6793 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,6800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 21,9800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 27,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,4667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,3500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,1633 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -31,8367 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,8778 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4445 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,3449 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -43,1542 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1963 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,8630 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,5400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | -13,7377 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22701
API ID
15345345
Gamdom ID
589580
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22701,
"api_id": 15345345,
"gamdom_id": 589580,
"player1": "Alana Subasic",
"player2": "Lola Radivojevic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 10.0,
"p2": 1.0625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 11.0,
"p2": 1.06
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 9.83,
"p2": 1.04
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4991,
"prob_p2": 0.5009,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5009,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.41,
"utr_ranking": 848,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 41,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 59.42028985507246,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.97,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.95,
"opponent_name": "Ikumi Yamazaki"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.81,
"opponent_name": "Elena Micic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.37,
"opponent_name": "Taylah Preston"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.11,
"opponent_name": "Sarah Rokusek"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Anastasia Necula"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.255137+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 137,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 108,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.41,
"ranking": 848,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.99,
"ranking": 108,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.2870588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_diff": -1.540000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 0.274,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 8.16326530612245,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -517,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.20000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.35,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -31.836734693877553,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -13.73773416592329,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -363,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2946271725940668,
"rank_advantage": -363,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 27.6,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.679333333333339,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.466666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.3533333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.680000000000007,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.444522202888974,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.344874027967197,
"surface_rank_synergy": -43.154239086468884,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.19047619047618,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.611111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": 21.979999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.877755102040815,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19633333333333325,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.863,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9113756613756574,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}