Anastasia Zakharova vs Kristina Mladenovic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia …: 85,4% Kristina …: 14,6%
¿Por qué Anastasia Zakharova?
UTR 11,88 vs 11,04 (+1,11) — Ligera ventaja
Anastasia …
Sin datos
Kristina …
W1-L4
20% WR
vs UTR 11,6
L4
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anastasia … Kristina … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,33 2,85 75,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,17 6,85 85,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasia Zakharova
Ranking #105
UTR Rating 11,88 Pro
UTR Ranking #134
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Kristina Mladenovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #474
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 43% (7p)
WR Hard 1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Anastasia Zakharova
Sin datos UTR v4
Kristina Mladenovic
Record 2025 1W - 4L (20%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 11,6
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 396,0000
rank_ratio 4,8077
log_rank_ratio 1,5702
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 742,0000
best_rank_diff 421,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,5417
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,3913
surface_matches_ratio 10,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,8750
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,1905
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0625
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,6700
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,8667
first_serve_won_diff -4,1156
second_serve_won_diff 12,7344
bp_saved_diff 1,1344
bp_converted_diff -1,8031
aces_per_match_diff 1,0521
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -10,8750
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6604
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 14,7429
serve_consistency_p2 9,1204
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,2634
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4273
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2293
elite_surface_amplifier 13,5417
UTR
utr_diff 1,1100
utr_p1 0,4612
utr_p2 0,3306
utr_advantage 9,7668
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22702
API ID 15345322
Gamdom ID 589606
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22702,
    "api_id": 15345322,
    "gamdom_id": 589606,
    "player1": "Anastasia Zakharova",
    "player2": "Kristina Mladenovic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8541,
    "prob_p2": 0.1459,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8541,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 105,
      "utr_singles": 11.88,
      "utr_ranking": 134,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.04,
      "utr_ranking": 474,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 1,
      "utr_v4_losses": 4,
      "utr_v4_wr": 20.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.56,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.22,
          "opponent_name": "Alevtina Ibragimova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.49,
          "opponent_name": "Katerina SINIAKOVA"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.99,
          "opponent_name": "Malene Helgo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.57,
          "opponent_name": "Polina Kudermetova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.54,
          "opponent_name": "Louisa Chirico"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.833181+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.88,
      "ranking": 134,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.04,
      "ranking": 474,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.3305882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 1.1099999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 4.8076923076923075,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 742,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.1343750000000128,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 9.766827980642317,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 421,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.570217199280819,
    "rank_advantage": 396,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.541666666666671,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.8031250000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.866666666666667,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.660377358490566,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0520833333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.115625000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.742907248767795,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.120397910788059,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.263357906927762,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.19047619047618,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 12.734375,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 10.666666666666666,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -10.875,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 13.541666666666671,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.42725,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22933333333333328,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.391269841269845,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}