Anastasija Sevastova vs Whitney Osuigwe
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 04:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasija Sevastova
Anastasija …: 52,8% Whitney …: 47,2%
¿Por qué Anastasija Sevastova?
UTR 11,57 vs 11,51 (+0,27) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anastasija … Whitney … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,46 2,85 68,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,90 2,12 52,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Anastasija …: -11,7% Whitney …: +11,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasija Sevastova
Ranking #186
UTR Rating 11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #226
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 6/12 = 50,0%
Whitney Osuigwe
Ranking #152
UTR Rating 11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #268
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -33,0000
rank_ratio 0,8216
log_rank_ratio -0,1965
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -73,0000
best_rank_diff 94,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,8750
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,2267
first_serve_won_diff 10,1333
second_serve_won_diff -9,4667
bp_saved_diff 2,6833
bp_converted_diff -7,3667
aces_per_match_diff 2,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -23,9200
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4800
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,0147
serve_consistency_p2 6,8306
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,6373
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0330
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1163
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2700
utr_p1 0,4388
utr_p2 0,4071
utr_advantage 2,3286
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22703
API ID 15345626
Gamdom ID 589893
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22703,
    "api_id": 15345626,
    "gamdom_id": 589893,
    "player1": "Anastasija Sevastova",
    "player2": "Whitney Osuigwe",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T00:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.46,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.76
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5276,
    "prob_p2": 0.4724,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5276,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 186,
      "utr_singles": 11.57,
      "utr_ranking": 226,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 152,
      "utr_singles": 11.51,
      "utr_ranking": 268,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.57,
      "ranking": 226,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.51,
      "ranking": 268,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4388235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": 0.2699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8216216216216217,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -73,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.68333333333333,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": 2.328589909443722,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 94,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.19647530423204837,
    "rank_advantage": -33,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.333333333333329,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.36666666666666,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.226666666666667,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.48,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.46,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.133333333333333,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.014747093320401,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.830560807521439,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.6372942019337355,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -9.466666666666683,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -23.92,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03300000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11633333333333329,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.875,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}