Anastasija Sevastova vs Whitney Osuigwe
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 04:35
13 Ene 2026, 04:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasija Sevastova
Anastasija …: 52,8%
Whitney …: 47,2%
¿Por qué Anastasija Sevastova?
UTR 11,57 vs 11,51
(+0,27)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anastasija … | Whitney … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,46 | 2,85 | 68,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,90 | 2,12 | 52,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anastasija …: -11,7%
Whitney …: +11,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasija Sevastova
Ranking
#186
UTR Rating
11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#226
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
6/12 = 50,0%
Whitney Osuigwe
Ranking
#152
UTR Rating
11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#268
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -33,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8216 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1965 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -73,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 94,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,8750 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,2267 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,1333 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -9,4667 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,6833 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,3667 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,9200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4800 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0147 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8306 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,6373 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0330 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1163 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,3286 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22703
API ID
15345626
Gamdom ID
589893
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22703,
"api_id": 15345626,
"gamdom_id": 589893,
"player1": "Anastasija Sevastova",
"player2": "Whitney Osuigwe",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T00:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.46,
"p2": 2.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.76
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5276,
"prob_p2": 0.4724,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5276,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 186,
"utr_singles": 11.57,
"utr_ranking": 226,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 152,
"utr_singles": 11.51,
"utr_ranking": 268,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.57,
"ranking": 226,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.51,
"ranking": 268,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4388235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_diff": 0.2699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.8216216216216217,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -73,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.68333333333333,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_advantage": 2.328589909443722,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 94,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.19647530423204837,
"rank_advantage": -33,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.333333333333329,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.36666666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.226666666666667,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.48,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.46,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.133333333333333,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.014747093320401,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.830560807521439,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.6372942019337355,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -9.466666666666683,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.92,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03300000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11633333333333329,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}