Anhelina Kalinina vs Joanna Garland
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anhelina Kalinina
Anhelina …: 63,0% Joanna …: 37,0%
¿Por qué Anhelina Kalinina?
UTR 12,11 vs 11,86 (+0,42) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anhelina … Joanna … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,80 52,4%
Gamdom 1,87 1,98 53,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,59 2,70 63,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Anhelina …: +14,5% Joanna …: -14,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking #179
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 12/21 = 57,1%
Joanna Garland
Ranking #117
UTR Rating 11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #143
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -45,0000
rank_ratio 0,7414
log_rank_ratio -0,2992
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -163,0000
best_rank_diff 95,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 14,2857
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,1972
surface_matches_ratio 3,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,1429
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,1515
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,5467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,0033
first_serve_won_diff 0,8429
second_serve_won_diff -6,9714
bp_saved_diff 8,8286
bp_converted_diff -0,3143
aces_per_match_diff -0,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -17,3400
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,5704
serve_consistency_p2 6,9950
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,2749
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1164
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1164
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4200
utr_p1 0,4812
utr_p2 0,4318
utr_advantage 3,5354
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22704
API ID 15345341
Gamdom ID 589582
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22704,
    "api_id": 15345341,
    "gamdom_id": 589582,
    "player1": "Anhelina Kalinina",
    "player2": "Joanna Garland",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9090909090909092,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.87,
      "p2": 1.98
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.82,
      "p2": 1.92
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6302,
    "prob_p2": 0.3698,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6302,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 179,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 117,
      "utr_singles": 11.86,
      "utr_ranking": 143,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.86,
      "ranking": 143,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.48117647058823526,
    "utr_p2": 0.43176470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7413793103448276,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -163,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.828571428571436,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -39.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 3.535353535353535,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 95,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2992428948528569,
    "rank_advantage": -45,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 14.285714285714285,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.3142857142857096,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.0033333333333374,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6666666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.8428571428571416,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.570399424642455,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.995039188896797,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.274898497897955,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.151515151515156,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.971428571428575,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -17.340000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11642857142857144,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11642857142857149,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.1971717171717184,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}