Anhelina Kalinina vs Joanna Garland
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anhelina Kalinina
Anhelina …: 63,0%
Joanna …: 37,0%
¿Por qué Anhelina Kalinina?
UTR 12,11 vs 11,86
(+0,42)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anhelina … | Joanna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,80 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,87 | 1,98 | 53,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,59 | 2,70 | 63,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anhelina …: +14,5%
Joanna …: -14,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
12/21 = 57,1%
Joanna Garland
Ranking
#117
UTR Rating
11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#143
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7414 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2992 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -163,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 95,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14,2857 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,1972 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,1515 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,0033 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,8429 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,9714 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,8286 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,3143 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -17,3400 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5704 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9950 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,2749 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1164 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1164 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4812 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4318 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,5354 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22704
API ID
15345341
Gamdom ID
589582
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22704,
"api_id": 15345341,
"gamdom_id": 589582,
"player1": "Anhelina Kalinina",
"player2": "Joanna Garland",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9090909090909092,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.87,
"p2": 1.98
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.82,
"p2": 1.92
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6302,
"prob_p2": 0.3698,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6302,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 117,
"utr_singles": 11.86,
"utr_ranking": 143,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.86,
"ranking": 143,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.48117647058823526,
"utr_p2": 0.43176470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.7413793103448276,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -163,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.828571428571436,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -39.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 3.535353535353535,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 95,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2992428948528569,
"rank_advantage": -45,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": 14.285714285714285,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.3142857142857096,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.0033333333333374,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6666666666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.8428571428571416,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.570399424642455,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.995039188896797,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.274898497897955,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.151515151515156,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.971428571428575,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -17.340000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11642857142857144,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11642857142857149,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.1971717171717184,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}