Astra Sharma vs Carson Branstine
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Astra Sharma
Astra …: 52,1% Carson …: 47,9%
¿Por qué Astra Sharma?
UTR 11,70 vs 11,83 (-0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Astra … Carson … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,50 40,0%
Gamdom 2,55 1,54 39,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,92 2,09 52,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Astra …: +14,6% Carson …: -14,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Astra Sharma
Ranking #157
UTR Rating 11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #183
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 10% (10p)
WR Hard 4/14 = 28,6%
Carson Branstine
Ranking #180
UTR Rating 11,83 Pro
UTR Ranking #140
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 22,0000
rank_ratio 1,1419
log_rank_ratio 0,1327
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 62,0000
best_rank_diff 88,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,5632
surface_matches_ratio 3,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 28,5714
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,5789
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,4200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,4875
first_serve_won_diff -1,5000
second_serve_won_diff -4,1250
bp_saved_diff -6,7250
bp_converted_diff 10,9750
aces_per_match_diff -0,7500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,2830
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,3134
serve_consistency_p2 13,4699
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,4740
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2363
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2280
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0900
utr_p1 0,4412
utr_p2 0,4518
utr_advantage -0,7630
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22705
API ID 15345331
Gamdom ID 589610
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22705,
    "api_id": 15345331,
    "gamdom_id": 589610,
    "player1": "Astra Sharma",
    "player2": "Carson Branstine",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.55,
      "p2": 1.54
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.48,
      "p2": 1.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5212,
    "prob_p2": 0.4788,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5212,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 157,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 183,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 10.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 180,
      "utr_singles": 11.83,
      "utr_ranking": 140,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 183,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.83,
      "ranking": 140,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4411764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.4517647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1419354838709677,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 62,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.7250000000000085,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.7630351844001684,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 88,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.13272461565458246,
    "rank_advantage": 22,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 3.5714285714285694,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.975000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.4875000000000043,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.75,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42000000000000004,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.313368168306212,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.469921500506453,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.47401648448065137,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.57894736842105,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.124999999999993,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.2829999999999977,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.23628571428571432,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22799999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.563157894736842,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}