Carole Monnet vs Elena Micic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 05:15
13 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Carole Monnet
Carole …: 69,2%
Elena …: 30,8%
¿Por qué Carole Monnet?
UTR 11,65 vs 10,82
(+0,91)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Carole … | Elena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,31 | 3,65 | 76,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,44 | 3,25 | 69,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Carole …: -5,8%
Elena …: +5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carole Monnet
Ranking
#175
UTR Rating
11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#197
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Elena Micic
Ranking
#352
UTR Rating
10,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#600
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Hard
2/4 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 175,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0174 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7018 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 224,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 189,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,9358 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,3534 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,1867 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,4423 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,6663 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11,6972 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0083 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1750 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 16,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3306 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,0781 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22706
API ID
15345241
Gamdom ID
589565
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22706,
"api_id": 15345241,
"gamdom_id": 589565,
"player1": "Carole Monnet",
"player2": "Elena Micic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T01:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6922,
"prob_p2": 0.3078,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6922,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 175,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 197,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 352,
"utr_singles": 10.82,
"utr_ranking": 600,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.65,
"ranking": 197,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.82,
"ranking": 600,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4376470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.3305882352941177,
"utr_diff": 0.9100000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 2.0174418604651163,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 224,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.700000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -18.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 8.078118064802487,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 189,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7018303031334062,
"rank_advantage": 175,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.666666666666657,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.20000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.186666666666667,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5833333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.399999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.442270326871652,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.66633510961471,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.697171718890097,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.35338345864662,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.6000000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.25,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 16.666666666666657,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.008333333333333526,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17500000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.9358395989974944,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}