Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 04:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daria Snigur
Daria …: 78,2% Katarzyna …: 21,8%
¿Por qué Daria Snigur?
UTR 11,96 vs 11,43 (+0,48) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daria … Katarzyna … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,14 5,50 87,5%
Gamdom 1,15 5,80 87,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,28 4,58 78,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Daria …: -4,6% Katarzyna …: +4,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Snigur
Ranking #136
UTR Rating 11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking #117
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 7/13 = 53,8%
Katarzyna Kawa
Ranking #135
UTR Rating 11,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #296
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 6/16 = 37,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -15,0000
rank_ratio 0,8993
log_rank_ratio -0,1061
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -58,0000
best_rank_diff 7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,3462
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,5137
surface_matches_ratio 0,8125
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 37,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,9412
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,0000
p1_surface_matches 13,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4733
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,5033
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,1912
first_serve_won_diff -0,3577
second_serve_won_diff 7,4269
bp_saved_diff 9,3385
bp_converted_diff 1,8788
aces_per_match_diff -1,6202
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 36,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 30,5040
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 34,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2301
serve_consistency_p2 8,7743
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,7344
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0535
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1400
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4800
utr_p1 0,4600
utr_p2 0,4035
utr_advantage 4,1131
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22707
API ID 15345332
Gamdom ID 589588
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22707,
    "api_id": 15345332,
    "gamdom_id": 589588,
    "player1": "Daria Snigur",
    "player2": "Katarzyna Kawa",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T00:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1428571428571428,
      "p2": 5.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.15,
      "p2": 5.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 5.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7818,
    "prob_p2": 0.2182,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7818,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 136,
      "utr_singles": 11.96,
      "utr_ranking": 117,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 135,
      "utr_singles": 11.43,
      "utr_ranking": 296,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.96,
      "ranking": 117,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.43,
      "ranking": 296,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46,
    "utr_p2": 0.40352941176470586,
    "utr_diff": 0.4800000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8993288590604027,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -58,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.338461538461544,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 35.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2": 37.5,
    "utr_advantage": 4.113110539845763,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 7,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.10610650599454774,
    "rank_advantage": -15,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.346153846153847,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.8788461538461547,
    "p1_surface_matches": 13,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.1911538461538456,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6201923076923077,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5033333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.35769230769230376,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.2300671532246925,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.774273475028853,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.7344332710647228,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.4269230769230745,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 30.503999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 34,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05346153846153845,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.51372549019608,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}