Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 04:50
13 Ene 2026, 04:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daria Snigur
Daria …: 78,2%
Katarzyna …: 21,8%
¿Por qué Daria Snigur?
UTR 11,96 vs 11,43
(+0,48)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Katarzyna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,14 | 5,50 | 87,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,15 | 5,80 | 87,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,28 | 4,58 | 78,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Daria …: -4,6%
Katarzyna …: +4,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Snigur
Ranking
#136
UTR Rating
11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
7/13 = 53,8%
Katarzyna Kawa
Ranking
#135
UTR Rating
11,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#296
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/16 = 37,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -15,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8993 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1061 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -58,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,3462 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,5137 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8125 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5033 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,1912 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3577 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,4269 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,3385 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,8788 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6202 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 36,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 30,5040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 34,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2301 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7743 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,7344 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0535 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1400 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4600 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4035 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,1131 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22707
API ID
15345332
Gamdom ID
589588
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22707,
"api_id": 15345332,
"gamdom_id": 589588,
"player1": "Daria Snigur",
"player2": "Katarzyna Kawa",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T00:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1428571428571428,
"p2": 5.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.15,
"p2": 5.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 5.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7818,
"prob_p2": 0.2182,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7818,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 136,
"utr_singles": 11.96,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 135,
"utr_singles": 11.43,
"utr_ranking": 296,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.96,
"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.43,
"ranking": 296,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.46,
"utr_p2": 0.40352941176470586,
"utr_diff": 0.4800000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 0.8993288590604027,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -58,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.338461538461544,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 35.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2": 37.5,
"utr_advantage": 4.113110539845763,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 7,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.10610650599454774,
"rank_advantage": -15,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.346153846153847,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.8788461538461547,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.1911538461538456,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6201923076923077,
"combined_confidence": 0.5033333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.35769230769230376,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.2300671532246925,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.774273475028853,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.7344332710647228,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.4269230769230745,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 30.503999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 34,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05346153846153845,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.51372549019608,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}