Darja Vidmanova vs Mingge Xu
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Darja Vidmanova
Darja …: 81,8% Mingge …: 18,2%
¿Por qué Darja Vidmanova?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Darja … Mingge … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
Gamdom 1,30 3,70 76,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,22 5,49 81,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Darja …: +6,8% Mingge …: -6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darja Vidmanova
Ranking #142
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/6 = 66,7%
Mingge Xu
Ranking #241
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #199
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 85,0000
rank_ratio 1,5862
log_rank_ratio 0,4613
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 182,0000
best_rank_diff 90,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 66,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12,8067
surface_matches_ratio 6,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 25,0000
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 58,4533
first_serve_won_diff 68,9000
second_serve_won_diff 58,9000
bp_saved_diff 63,0000
bp_converted_diff 47,2000
aces_per_match_diff 3,1667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 21,5340
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 33,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,0910
serve_consistency_p2 5,1674
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 30,7564
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0817
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4150
elite_surface_amplifier 66,6667
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4282
utr_p2 0,4282
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22708
API ID 15345308
Gamdom ID 589591
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22708,
    "api_id": 15345308,
    "gamdom_id": 589591,
    "player1": "Darja Vidmanova",
    "player2": "Mingge Xu",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T03:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.49
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8178,
    "prob_p2": 0.1822,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8178,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 142,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 241,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 199,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 199,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4282352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4282352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5862068965517242,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 182,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 63.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 90,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.461345566502621,
    "rank_advantage": 85,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 66.66666666666666,
    "bp_converted_diff": 47.20000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 58.45333333333334,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.1666666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 68.9,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.0910364901941465,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.167436617765487,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 30.75637110017473,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 25.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 58.9,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 6.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 21.534000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 66.66666666666666,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 33,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08166666666666655,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.41500000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.806666666666665,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}