Destanee Aiava vs Harriet Dart
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 10:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Harriet Dart
Destanee …: 45,7% Harriet …: 54,3%
¿Por qué Harriet Dart?
UTR 11,54 vs 11,73 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Destanee … Harriet … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,1%
Gamdom 2,41 1,60 41,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,19 1,84 45,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Destanee …: +6,5% Harriet …: -6,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Destanee Aiava
Ranking #237
UTR Rating 11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #233
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 7/12 = 58,3%
Harriet Dart
Ranking #170
UTR Rating 11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #175
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -67,0000
rank_ratio 0,7149
log_rank_ratio -0,3356
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -102,0000
best_rank_diff -77,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11,2745
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,4306
surface_matches_ratio 0,7059
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,3333
surface_wr_p2 47,0588
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,2500
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,6190
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,5133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,3339
first_serve_won_diff 3,2000
second_serve_won_diff 8,1000
bp_saved_diff 5,8000
bp_converted_diff -18,8000
aces_per_match_diff 1,6520
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -56,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -43,9800
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 87,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7850
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5116
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 10,9655
serve_consistency_p2 15,7967
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,7840
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1503
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0964
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,4259
utr_p2 0,4353
utr_advantage -0,6861
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22709
API ID 15345357
Gamdom ID 589562
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22709,
    "api_id": 15345357,
    "gamdom_id": 589562,
    "player1": "Destanee Aiava",
    "player2": "Harriet Dart",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T06:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.375,
      "p2": 1.5333333333333332
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.41,
      "p2": 1.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.28,
      "p2": 1.59
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4572,
    "prob_p2": 0.5428,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5428,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 237,
      "utr_singles": 11.54,
      "utr_ranking": 233,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 170,
      "utr_singles": 11.73,
      "utr_ranking": 175,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.54,
      "ranking": 233,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.73,
      "ranking": 175,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4258823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4352941176470587,
    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7148936170212766,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -102,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.799999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -55.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.05882352941176,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6861063464837056,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -77,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.3356215347409,
    "rank_advantage": -67,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 11.274509803921575,
    "bp_converted_diff": -18.799999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.333921568627453,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7850467289719626,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5116279069767442,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.6519607843137254,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5133333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.200000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.965463364150965,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 15.796723665396872,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.7839682838434827,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 8.099999999999987,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7058823529411765,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -43.98000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 87,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15033333333333332,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09641176470588236,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.430555555555558,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}