Destanee Aiava vs Harriet Dart
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 10:10
13 Ene 2026, 10:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Harriet Dart
Destanee …: 45,7%
Harriet …: 54,3%
¿Por qué Harriet Dart?
UTR 11,54 vs 11,73
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Destanee … | Harriet … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,41 | 1,60 | 41,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,19 | 1,84 | 45,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Destanee …: +6,5%
Harriet …: -6,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Destanee Aiava
Ranking
#237
UTR Rating
11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#233
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
7/12 = 58,3%
Harriet Dart
Ranking
#170
UTR Rating
11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#175
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -67,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7149 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3356 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -102,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -77,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,2745 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,4306 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7059 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,6190 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,3339 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -18,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,6520 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -56,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -43,9800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 87,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7850 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5116 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,9655 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15,7967 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,7840 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1503 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0964 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4259 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4353 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6861 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22709
API ID
15345357
Gamdom ID
589562
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22709,
"api_id": 15345357,
"gamdom_id": 589562,
"player1": "Destanee Aiava",
"player2": "Harriet Dart",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T06:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.41,
"p2": 1.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.28,
"p2": 1.59
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4572,
"prob_p2": 0.5428,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5428,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 237,
"utr_singles": 11.54,
"utr_ranking": 233,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 170,
"utr_singles": 11.73,
"utr_ranking": 175,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.54,
"ranking": 233,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.73,
"ranking": 175,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4352941176470587,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.7148936170212766,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -102,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.799999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -55.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.05882352941176,
"utr_advantage": -0.6861063464837056,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -77,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3356215347409,
"rank_advantage": -67,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.274509803921575,
"bp_converted_diff": -18.799999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.333921568627453,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7850467289719626,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5116279069767442,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.6519607843137254,
"combined_confidence": 0.5133333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.200000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.965463364150965,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.796723665396872,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.7839682838434827,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.099999999999987,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7058823529411765,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -43.98000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 87,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15033333333333332,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09641176470588236,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.430555555555558,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}