Diane Parry vs Elena Pridankina
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 11:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diane Parry
Diane …: 52,2% Elena …: 47,8%
¿Por qué Diane Parry?
UTR 11,77 vs 11,57 (+0,23) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Diane … Elena … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,64 2,31 61,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,91 2,09 52,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Diane …: -5,4% Elena …: +5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Diane Parry
Ranking #122
UTR Rating 11,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #163
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Elena Pridankina
Ranking #190
UTR Rating 11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #225
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 7/15 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 65,0000
rank_ratio 1,5328
log_rank_ratio 0,4271
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 238,0000
best_rank_diff 120,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,7368
surface_matches_ratio 0,8000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 46,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,3684
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,4800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,8833
first_serve_won_diff 2,9000
second_serve_won_diff -3,0000
bp_saved_diff 12,3000
bp_converted_diff 14,9000
aces_per_match_diff 1,1667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,3950
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9239
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 11,1271
serve_consistency_p2 10,5096
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,1354
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1483
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0317
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2300
utr_p1 0,4506
utr_p2 0,4235
utr_advantage 1,9633
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22710
API ID 15345355
Gamdom ID 589557
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22710,
    "api_id": 15345355,
    "gamdom_id": 589557,
    "player1": "Diane Parry",
    "player2": "Elena Pridankina",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T07:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.64,
      "p2": 2.31
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.61,
      "p2": 2.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5222,
    "prob_p2": 0.4778,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5222,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 122,
      "utr_singles": 11.77,
      "utr_ranking": 163,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 190,
      "utr_singles": 11.57,
      "utr_ranking": 225,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.77,
      "ranking": 163,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.57,
      "ranking": 225,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4505882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.4235294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5327868852459017,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 238,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.300000000000011,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 1.9632949210414037,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 120,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.4270875721213301,
    "rank_advantage": 65,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.999999999999993,
    "bp_converted_diff": 14.899999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.8833333333333258,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9239130434782609,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.48,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.127079890787375,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.509607145486571,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.1354378606066473,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.368421052631575,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.395000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1483333333333332,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.031666666666666565,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.736842105263156,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}