Diane Parry vs Elena Pridankina
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 11:40
13 Ene 2026, 11:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diane Parry
Diane …: 52,2%
Elena …: 47,8%
¿Por qué Diane Parry?
UTR 11,77 vs 11,57
(+0,23)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Diane … | Elena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,64 | 2,31 | 61,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,91 | 2,09 | 52,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Diane …: -5,4%
Elena …: +5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Diane Parry
Ranking
#122
UTR Rating
11,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#163
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Elena Pridankina
Ranking
#190
UTR Rating
11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#225
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
7/15 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 65,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5328 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4271 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 238,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 120,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,7368 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,3684 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,8833 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 14,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,3950 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9239 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,1271 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,5096 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,1354 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1483 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0317 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4235 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,9633 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22710
API ID
15345355
Gamdom ID
589557
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22710,
"api_id": 15345355,
"gamdom_id": 589557,
"player1": "Diane Parry",
"player2": "Elena Pridankina",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T07:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.31
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.61,
"p2": 2.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5222,
"prob_p2": 0.4778,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5222,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 122,
"utr_singles": 11.77,
"utr_ranking": 163,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 190,
"utr_singles": 11.57,
"utr_ranking": 225,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 163,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 225,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4235294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
"rank_ratio": 1.5327868852459017,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": 238,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.300000000000011,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 1.9632949210414037,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 120,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4270875721213301,
"rank_advantage": 65,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.999999999999993,
"bp_converted_diff": 14.899999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.8833333333333258,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9239130434782609,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.48,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.127079890787375,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.509607145486571,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.1354378606066473,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.368421052631575,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.395000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1483333333333332,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.031666666666666565,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.736842105263156,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}