Eva Vedder vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 05:55
13 Ene 2026, 05:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucrezia Stefanini
Eva …: 36,2%
Lucrezia …: 63,8%
¿Por qué Lucrezia Stefanini?
UTR 11,54 vs 11,61
(-0,07)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Eva … | Lucrezia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,50 | 40,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,60 | 1,52 | 38,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,76 | 1,57 | 36,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Eva …: -1,3%
Lucrezia …: +1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eva Vedder
Ranking
#224
UTR Rating
11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#238
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking
#139
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#209
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/23 = 47,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -86,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6126 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4900 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -192,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -110,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,4928 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,0344 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1304 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47,8261 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,1481 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,2952 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,3116 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 15,2957 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10,9116 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,5304 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,2754 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14,5450 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 35,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,8379 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,0138 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,1018 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0807 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1077 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4271 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6037 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22711
API ID
15345238
Gamdom ID
589566
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22711,
"api_id": 15345238,
"gamdom_id": 589566,
"player1": "Eva Vedder",
"player2": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T01:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.6,
"p2": 1.52
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.55,
"p2": 1.49
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3624,
"prob_p2": 0.6376,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6376,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 224,
"utr_singles": 11.54,
"utr_ranking": 238,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 139,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 209,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.82608695652174,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 238,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 209,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
"utr_diff": -0.07000000000000028,
"rank_ratio": 0.6126126126126126,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -192,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.911594202898549,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.82608695652174,
"utr_advantage": -0.6037084950409684,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -110,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4900224961362275,
"rank_advantage": -86,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.492753623188413,
"bp_converted_diff": -13.530434782608697,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.295217391304348,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.2753623188405796,
"combined_confidence": 0.5533333333333332,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.31159420289855433,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.837926696202832,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.0137717457737,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.101775306322142,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.148148148148145,
"second_serve_won_diff": 15.295652173913034,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.13043478260869565,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.545000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 35,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08066666666666678,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10773913043478256,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.034356261022927,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}