Greet Minnen vs Francisca Jorge
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Greet Minnen
Greet …: 90,8%
Francisca …: 9,2%
¿Por qué Greet Minnen?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,52
(+0,65)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Greet … | Francisca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,37 | 3,20 | 73,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,10 | 10,83 | 90,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Greet …: +22,0%
Francisca …: -22,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Greet Minnen
Ranking
#123
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#64
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
15/28 = 53,6%
Francisca Jorge
Ranking
#214
UTR Rating
11,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#252
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 92,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7731 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5727 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 289,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 117,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 29,2688 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 14,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,1250 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 6,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0714 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,7200 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,4071 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,0071 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 31,6929 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,2357 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6071 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,1633 | |
| momentum_diff | 29,8367 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,5357 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 91,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 181,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6622 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,0302 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,9614 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 30,6822 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0563 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4080 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 53,5714 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4129 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,4922 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22712
API ID
15345350
Gamdom ID
589577
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22712,
"api_id": 15345350,
"gamdom_id": 589577,
"player1": "Greet Minnen",
"player2": "Francisca Jorge",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.37,
"p2": 3.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.15
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9077,
"prob_p2": 0.0923,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9077,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 123,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 64,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 214,
"utr_singles": 11.52,
"utr_ranking": 252,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 64,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 252,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4129411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.6500000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 1.773109243697479,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.16326530612245,
"points_diff": 289,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 31.692857142857143,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 29.836734693877553,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 5.492184199408537,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 117,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.572734640364537,
"rank_advantage": 92,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 53.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.2357142857142875,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.719999999999999,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6621621621621622,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6071428571428572,
"combined_confidence": 0.63,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.407142857142858,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07142857142857142,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.030214398682523,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.9613525796976692,
"surface_rank_synergy": 30.682212876671624,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.125,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.0071428571428598,
"surface_matches_ratio": 14.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.535714285714292,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 53.57142857142857,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 91,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 181,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05628571428571438,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4079999999999999,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 29.26875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}