Greet Minnen vs Francisca Jorge
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Greet Minnen
Greet …: 90,8% Francisca …: 9,2%
¿Por qué Greet Minnen?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,52 (+0,65) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Greet … Francisca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,37 3,20 73,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,10 10,83 90,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Greet …: +22,0% Francisca …: -22,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Greet Minnen
Ranking #123
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 15/28 = 53,6%
Francisca Jorge
Ranking #214
UTR Rating 11,52 Pro
UTR Ranking #252
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 92,0000
rank_ratio 1,7731
log_rank_ratio 0,5727
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 289,0000
best_rank_diff 117,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 53,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 29,2688
surface_matches_ratio 14,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,5714
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,1250
surface_wr_p2_stable 6,6667
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0714
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,6300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,7200
first_serve_won_diff 10,4071
second_serve_won_diff 1,0071
bp_saved_diff 31,6929
bp_converted_diff 5,2357
aces_per_match_diff 0,6071
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 8,1633
momentum_diff 29,8367
weighted_momentum_diff 21,5357
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 91,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 181,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6622
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,0302
serve_consistency_p2 1,9614
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 30,6822
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0563
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4080
elite_surface_amplifier 53,5714
UTR
utr_diff 0,6500
utr_p1 0,4894
utr_p2 0,4129
utr_advantage 5,4922
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22712
API ID 15345350
Gamdom ID 589577
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22712,
    "api_id": 15345350,
    "gamdom_id": 589577,
    "player1": "Greet Minnen",
    "player2": "Francisca Jorge",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9077,
    "prob_p2": 0.0923,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9077,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 123,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 64,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 214,
      "utr_singles": 11.52,
      "utr_ranking": 252,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 64,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.52,
      "ranking": 252,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4894117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.4129411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.6500000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.773109243697479,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.16326530612245,
    "points_diff": 289,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 31.692857142857143,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 29.836734693877553,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.492184199408537,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 117,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.572734640364537,
    "rank_advantage": 92,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 53.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.2357142857142875,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.719999999999999,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6621621621621622,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6071428571428572,
    "combined_confidence": 0.63,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.407142857142858,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07142857142857142,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.030214398682523,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.9613525796976692,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 30.682212876671624,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.125,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.0071428571428598,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 14.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 21.535714285714292,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 53.57142857142857,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 91,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 181,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05628571428571438,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4079999999999999,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 29.26875,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}