Hanne Vandewinkel vs Carol Young-suh Lee
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 05:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hanne Vandewinkel
Hanne …: 75,7% Carol …: 24,3%
¿Por qué Hanne Vandewinkel?
UTR 11,77 vs 11,65 (+0,16) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hanne … Carol … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,42 2,95 70,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,32 4,12 75,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Hanne …: +7,0% Carol …: -7,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hanne Vandewinkel
Ranking #125
UTR Rating 11,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #168
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 9/12 = 75,0%
Carol Young-suh Lee
Ranking #210
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #197
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 83,0000
rank_ratio 1,6640
log_rank_ratio 0,5092
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 235,0000
best_rank_diff 86,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 25,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,3750
surface_matches_ratio 6,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3933
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,8517
first_serve_won_diff -2,6167
second_serve_won_diff 9,3000
bp_saved_diff -6,7167
bp_converted_diff 10,0667
aces_per_match_diff -2,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,8800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 14,4654
serve_consistency_p2 4,9831
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 12,7306
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1670
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0830
elite_surface_amplifier 25,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1600
utr_p1 0,4459
utr_p2 0,4271
utr_advantage 1,3664
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22713
API ID 15345248
Gamdom ID 589569
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22713,
    "api_id": 15345248,
    "gamdom_id": 589569,
    "player1": "Hanne Vandewinkel",
    "player2": "Carol Young-suh Lee",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T01:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 2.81
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7571,
    "prob_p2": 0.2429,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7571,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 125,
      "utr_singles": 11.77,
      "utr_ranking": 168,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 210,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 197,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.77,
      "ranking": 168,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 197,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4458823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
    "utr_diff": 0.15999999999999837,
    "rank_ratio": 1.664,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 235,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.716666666666676,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 8.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.3663535439794907,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 86,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5092243423990168,
    "rank_advantage": 83,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.06666666666667,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.8516666666666737,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.6666666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.6166666666666742,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.465438486333568,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.983074423376787,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 12.73060855997542,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 9.300000000000004,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 6.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.880000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 25.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16700000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08299999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.375,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}