Hanyu Guo vs Dominika Salkova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dominika Salkova
Hanyu …: 38,9% Dominika …: 61,1%
¿Por qué Dominika Salkova?
UTR 11,75 vs 11,80 (-0,03) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hanyu … Dominika … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 2,01 1,85 49,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,57 1,64 38,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Hanyu …: -7,5% Dominika …: +7,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hanyu Guo
Ranking #173
UTR Rating 11,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #171
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 9/17 = 52,9%
Dominika Salkova
Ranking #144
UTR Rating 11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #156
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/20 = 55,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -29,0000
rank_ratio 0,8304
log_rank_ratio -0,1858
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -101,0000
best_rank_diff -39,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,0588
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,1012
surface_matches_ratio 0,8500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,9412
surface_wr_p2 55,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,3810
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,1667
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,6167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,8764
first_serve_won_diff 1,1700
second_serve_won_diff -2,2050
bp_saved_diff -13,3800
bp_converted_diff 8,9950
aces_per_match_diff 0,4765
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,4640
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 3,6302
serve_consistency_p2 5,7654
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,3826
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0584
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0210
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0300
utr_p1 0,4435
utr_p2 0,4471
utr_advantage -0,2546
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22714
API ID 15345321
Gamdom ID 589614
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22714,
    "api_id": 15345321,
    "gamdom_id": 589614,
    "player1": "Hanyu Guo",
    "player2": "Dominika Salkova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T03:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.01,
      "p2": 1.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.94,
      "p2": 1.82
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3886,
    "prob_p2": 0.6114,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6114,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 173,
      "utr_singles": 11.75,
      "utr_ranking": 171,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 144,
      "utr_singles": 11.8,
      "utr_ranking": 156,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.75,
      "ranking": 171,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.8,
      "ranking": 156,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44352941176470584,
    "utr_p2": 0.44705882352941184,
    "utr_diff": -0.030000000000001137,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8304093567251462,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -101,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -13.379999999999995,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.00000000000001,
    "utr_advantage": -0.25456088247773556,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -39,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.18583649890139917,
    "rank_advantage": -29,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.058823529411768,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.994999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.8764411764705926,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.476470588235294,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.1699999999999946,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.6302024253256286,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.765399803502092,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.3826045565617048,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.38095238095239,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.166666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.2049999999999983,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.85,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.4639999999999986,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.058411764705882385,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02100000000000002,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.1011904761904712,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}