Hanyu Guo vs Dominika Salkova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:35
13 Ene 2026, 07:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dominika Salkova
Hanyu …: 38,9%
Dominika …: 61,1%
¿Por qué Dominika Salkova?
UTR 11,75 vs 11,80
(-0,03)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hanyu … | Dominika … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,01 | 1,85 | 49,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,57 | 1,64 | 38,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hanyu …: -7,5%
Dominika …: +7,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hanyu Guo
Ranking
#173
UTR Rating
11,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#171
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
9/17 = 52,9%
Dominika Salkova
Ranking
#144
UTR Rating
11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#156
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/20 = 55,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8304 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1858 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -101,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -39,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,0588 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,1012 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,3810 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,1667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,8764 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,1700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2050 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -13,3800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,9950 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,4765 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,4640 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,6302 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,7654 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3826 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0584 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0210 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4471 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,2546 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22714
API ID
15345321
Gamdom ID
589614
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22714,
"api_id": 15345321,
"gamdom_id": 589614,
"player1": "Hanyu Guo",
"player2": "Dominika Salkova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T03:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.01,
"p2": 1.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.94,
"p2": 1.82
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3886,
"prob_p2": 0.6114,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6114,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 173,
"utr_singles": 11.75,
"utr_ranking": 171,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 144,
"utr_singles": 11.8,
"utr_ranking": 156,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.75,
"ranking": 171,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.8,
"ranking": 156,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.44352941176470584,
"utr_p2": 0.44705882352941184,
"utr_diff": -0.030000000000001137,
"rank_ratio": 0.8304093567251462,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -101,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -13.379999999999995,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.00000000000001,
"utr_advantage": -0.25456088247773556,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -39,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.18583649890139917,
"rank_advantage": -29,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.058823529411768,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.994999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.8764411764705926,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.476470588235294,
"combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.1699999999999946,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.6302024253256286,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.765399803502092,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.3826045565617048,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.38095238095239,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.166666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.2049999999999983,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.85,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.4639999999999986,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.058411764705882385,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02100000000000002,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.1011904761904712,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}