Iryna Shymanovich vs Arina Rodionova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 09:40
13 Ene 2026, 09:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iryna Shymanovich
Iryna …: 56,5%
Arina …: 43,5%
¿Por qué Iryna Shymanovich?
UTR 11,51 vs 11,25
(+0,35)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iryna … | Arina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,66 | 2,28 | 60,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,77 | 2,30 | 56,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Iryna …: -1,2%
Arina …: +1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iryna Shymanovich
Ranking
#154
UTR Rating
11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#257
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
2/7 = 28,6%
Arina Rodionova
Ranking
#208
UTR Rating
11,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#368
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
1/6 = 16,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 56,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3733 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3172 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 116,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -53,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,9048 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,8468 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,8075 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 25,2727 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,1829 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 10,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0714 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -44,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -32,8200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 73,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,0782 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6685 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,7767 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2703 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2773 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 11,9048 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4235 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3824 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,0635 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22715
API ID
15345337
Gamdom ID
589601
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22715,
"api_id": 15345337,
"gamdom_id": 589601,
"player1": "Iryna Shymanovich",
"player2": "Arina Rodionova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T05:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.66,
"p2": 2.28
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5647,
"prob_p2": 0.4353,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5647,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 154,
"utr_singles": 11.51,
"utr_ranking": 257,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 208,
"utr_singles": 11.25,
"utr_ranking": 368,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 16.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.51,
"ranking": 257,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.25,
"ranking": 368,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4235294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.38235294117647056,
"utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 1.3733333333333333,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 116,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.70000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -44.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 16.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 3.0634573304157517,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -53,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3172408746933253,
"rank_advantage": 56,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.904761904761905,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.182857142857138,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0714285714285714,
"combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.1000000000000014,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.078176503468494,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.6684567423500285,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.776677079682444,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.80748663101605,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 25.272727272727273,
"second_serve_won_diff": 10.299999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -32.82000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 11.904761904761905,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 73,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.27028571428571435,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2773333333333333,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.846773618538326,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}