Jessica Pieri vs Harmony Tan
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jessica Pieri
Jessica …: 65,0%
Harmony …: 35,0%
¿Por qué Jessica Pieri?
UTR 11,47 vs 11,61
(-0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jessica … | Harmony … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,25 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 3,10 | 1,40 | 32,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,86 | 65,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jessica …: +40,0%
Harmony …: -40,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pieri
Ranking
#230
UTR Rating
11,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#278
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
3/4 = 75,0%
Harmony Tan
Ranking
#216
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#206
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (9p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -12,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9469 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0546 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -16,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -115,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,5167 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 45,1300 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 57,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 54,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 63,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 55,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13,4580 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 35,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 105,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,1963 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0785 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,0919 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2620 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5120 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4247 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3877 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22716
API ID
15345349
Gamdom ID
589575
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22716,
"api_id": 15345349,
"gamdom_id": 589575,
"player1": "Jessica Pieri",
"player2": "Harmony Tan",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.1,
"p2": 1.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.93,
"p2": 1.38
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6502,
"prob_p2": 0.3498,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6502,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 230,
"utr_singles": 11.47,
"utr_ranking": 278,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 216,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 206,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.47,
"ranking": 278,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.61,
"ranking": 206,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.40588235294117636,
"utr_p2": 0.4247058823529411,
"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 0.9469026548672567,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -16,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 63.4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -1.387684301821337,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -115,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.054558984250434366,
"rank_advantage": -12,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 75.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 55.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 45.129999999999995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 57.8,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.196313788213402,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.078533806386073,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.091923818782577,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 54.1,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.457999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 35,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 105,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.262,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.512,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.516666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}