Jessica Pieri vs Harmony Tan
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jessica Pieri
Jessica …: 65,0% Harmony …: 35,0%
¿Por qué Jessica Pieri?
UTR 11,47 vs 11,61 (-0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Harmony … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,25 26,7%
Gamdom 3,10 1,40 32,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,86 65,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Jessica …: +40,0% Harmony …: -40,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pieri
Ranking #230
UTR Rating 11,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #278
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 3/4 = 75,0%
Harmony Tan
Ranking #216
UTR Rating 11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #206
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (9p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -12,0000
rank_ratio 0,9469
log_rank_ratio -0,0546
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -16,0000
best_rank_diff -115,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 75,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,5167
surface_matches_ratio 4,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 0,0000
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 45,1300
first_serve_won_diff 57,8000
second_serve_won_diff 54,1000
bp_saved_diff 63,4000
bp_converted_diff 55,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13,4580
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 35,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 105,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,1963
serve_consistency_p2 9,0785
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,0919
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2620
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5120
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1600
utr_p1 0,4059
utr_p2 0,4247
utr_advantage -1,3877
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22716
API ID 15345349
Gamdom ID 589575
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22716,
    "api_id": 15345349,
    "gamdom_id": 589575,
    "player1": "Jessica Pieri",
    "player2": "Harmony Tan",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.1,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.93,
      "p2": 1.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6502,
    "prob_p2": 0.3498,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6502,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 230,
      "utr_singles": 11.47,
      "utr_ranking": 278,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 216,
      "utr_singles": 11.61,
      "utr_ranking": 206,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.47,
      "ranking": 278,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.61,
      "ranking": 206,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.40588235294117636,
    "utr_p2": 0.4247058823529411,
    "utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9469026548672567,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -16,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 63.4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.387684301821337,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -115,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.054558984250434366,
    "rank_advantage": -12,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 75.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 55.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 45.129999999999995,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 57.8,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.196313788213402,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.078533806386073,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.091923818782577,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 54.1,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.457999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 35,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 105,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.262,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.512,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.516666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}