Katie Boulter vs Luisina Giovannini
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Katie Boulter
Katie …: 87,2% Luisina …: 12,8%
¿Por qué Katie Boulter?
UTR 12,09 vs 11,57 (+0,47) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Katie … Luisina … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,10 5,20 90,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,15 7,81 87,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katie Boulter
Ranking #113
UTR Rating 12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #83
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Luisina Giovannini
Ranking #221
UTR Rating 11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #224
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 108,0000
rank_ratio 1,9643
log_rank_ratio 0,6751
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 356,0000
best_rank_diff 197,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 42,3077
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,6111
surface_matches_ratio 26,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,3077
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 20,0000
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1538
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,5833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 53,8977
first_serve_won_diff 62,6385
second_serve_won_diff 53,7231
bp_saved_diff 49,1077
bp_converted_diff 48,9769
aces_per_match_diff 3,2308
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16,7100
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 36,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6190
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,8735
serve_consistency_p2 14,3678
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 28,5631
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1849
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3920
elite_surface_amplifier 42,3077
UTR
utr_diff 0,4700
utr_p1 0,4824
utr_p2 0,4271
utr_advantage 3,9612
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22717
API ID 15345336
Gamdom ID 589586
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22717,
    "api_id": 15345336,
    "gamdom_id": 589586,
    "player1": "Katie Boulter",
    "player2": "Luisina Giovannini",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 5.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.872,
    "prob_p2": 0.128,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.872,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 113,
      "utr_singles": 12.09,
      "utr_ranking": 83,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 221,
      "utr_singles": 11.57,
      "utr_ranking": 224,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.09,
      "ranking": 83,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.57,
      "ranking": 224,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.48235294117647054,
    "utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
    "utr_diff": 0.46999999999999886,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9642857142857142,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 356,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 49.107692307692304,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.9612305099030665,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 197,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6751286750572669,
    "rank_advantage": 108,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 42.30769230769231,
    "bp_converted_diff": 48.97692307692308,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 53.89769230769231,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6190476190476191,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.230769230769231,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 62.63846153846154,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.873473975826082,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.367794062301819,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 28.56313625242283,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 20.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 53.72307692307693,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 26.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.71,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 42.30769230769231,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 36,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1849230769230769,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.392,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.611111111111112,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}