Louisa Chirico vs Yue Yuan
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 06:35
13 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yue Yuan
Louisa …: 25,5%
Yue …: 74,5%
¿Por qué Yue Yuan?
UTR 11,50 vs 12,04
(-0,50)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Louisa … | Yue … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,50 | 1,29 | 28,6% |
| Gamdom | 5,00 | 1,19 | 20,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,92 | 1,34 | 25,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Louisa …: -1,4%
Yue …: +1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Louisa Chirico
Ranking
#178
UTR Rating
11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#247
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
1/8 = 12,5%
Yue Yuan
Ranking
#130
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#95
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/25 = 32,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7803 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2480 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -130,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -22,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,8126 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3200 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 12,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 28,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 34,4828 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,7500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,9232 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,8440 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,0760 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0850 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,6400 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7872 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1019 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 17,4840 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,8363 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3370 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2180 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4165 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,2409 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22719
API ID
15345309
Gamdom ID
589594
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22719,
"api_id": 15345309,
"gamdom_id": 589594,
"player1": "Louisa Chirico",
"player2": "Yue Yuan",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T02:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.5,
"p2": 1.2857142857142856
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.0,
"p2": 1.19
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.96,
"p2": 1.16
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2551,
"prob_p2": 0.7449,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7449,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 178,
"utr_singles": 11.5,
"utr_ranking": 247,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 12.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 130,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 95,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 32.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.5,
"ranking": 247,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 95,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.41647058823529404,
"utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_diff": -0.5,
"rank_ratio": 0.7803468208092486,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -130,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.0760000000000005,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 12.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 32.0,
"utr_advantage": -4.2408821034775235,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -22,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2480168160593495,
"rank_advantage": -38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.5,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.100000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.9232000000000014,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7872340425531915,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.08499999999999996,
"combined_confidence": 0.62,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.6000000000000014,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.75,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.101875546671502,
"serve_consistency_p2": 17.484016134054375,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.836327913157315,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 28.333333333333332,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.48275862068966,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.843999999999994,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.32,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.640000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.33699999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21800000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.812643678160922,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}