Maddison Inglis vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:45
13 Ene 2026, 07:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Maddison …: 42,3%
Leyre …: 57,7%
¿Por qué Leyre Romero Gormaz?
UTR 11,73 vs 11,64
(+0,04)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maddison … | Leyre … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,49 | 2,70 | 67,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,36 | 1,73 | 42,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Maddison …: -20,2%
Leyre …: +20,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maddison Inglis
Ranking
#168
UTR Rating
11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#173
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
18/33 = 54,5%
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Ranking
#141
UTR Rating
11,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#201
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
4/8 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8434 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1703 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -91,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,5455 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,8514 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,1250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,0541 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7033 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,2787 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,8375 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,3500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -13,5375 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,1750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9962 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 30,9260 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 77,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,2174 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7123 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7743 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0715 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0260 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4353 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,3413 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22720
API ID
15345307
Gamdom ID
589570
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22720,
"api_id": 15345307,
"gamdom_id": 589570,
"player1": "Maddison Inglis",
"player2": "Leyre Romero Gormaz",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T03:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.46,
"p2": 2.64
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4229,
"prob_p2": 0.5771,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5771,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 168,
"utr_singles": 11.73,
"utr_ranking": 173,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 141,
"utr_singles": 11.64,
"utr_ranking": 201,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 173,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 201,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4352941176470587,
"utr_diff": 0.040000000000000924,
"rank_ratio": 0.8433734939759037,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -91,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -13.537500000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.34129692832765296,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.17034536574723888,
"rank_advantage": -26,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.54545454545454,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.174999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 8,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.27867424242424477,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9962121212121211,
"combined_confidence": 0.7033333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.837499999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.217438741032754,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.712336084232834,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.774297117032903,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.054054054054056,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.3500000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 30.926000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 77,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07145454545454544,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.026000000000000023,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.851351351351353,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}