Sijia Wei vs Elvina Kalieva
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elvina Kalieva
Sijia …: 44,8%
Elvina …: 55,2%
¿Por qué Elvina Kalieva?
UTR 11,44 vs 11,52
(-0,01)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sijia … | Elvina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,74 | 2,15 | 57,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,23 | 1,81 | 44,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sijia …: -8,8%
Elvina …: +8,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sijia Wei
Ranking
#289
UTR Rating
11,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#287
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
11/19 = 57,9%
Elvina Kalieva
Ranking
#207
UTR Rating
11,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#259
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
3/5 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -84,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7073 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3463 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -119,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,1053 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0863 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,5217 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,3492 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1579 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,4726 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -16,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -14,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 21,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9263 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -35,4190 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6552 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7939 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,8903 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,7290 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1629 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0160 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,0873 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22724
API ID
15345313
Gamdom ID
589615
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22724,
"api_id": 15345313,
"gamdom_id": 589615,
"player1": "Sijia Wei",
"player2": "Elvina Kalieva",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.74,
"p2": 2.15
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.7,
"p2": 2.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4484,
"prob_p2": 0.5516,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5516,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 289,
"utr_singles": 11.44,
"utr_ranking": 287,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 207,
"utr_singles": 11.52,
"utr_ranking": 259,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.44,
"ranking": 287,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.52,
"ranking": 259,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.40588235294117636,
"utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_diff": -0.010000000000001563,
"rank_ratio": 0.7073170731707317,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -119,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -13.999999999999993,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.89473684210527,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.0872981230903672,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 54,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3462762367178338,
"rank_advantage": -84,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.1052631578947327,
"bp_converted_diff": 21.700000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.472631578947372,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6551724137931034,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9263157894736842,
"combined_confidence": 0.5,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.3999999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15789473684210525,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.793883879654053,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.890308694281693,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.7290026036164908,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.52173913043478,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.34920634920635,
"second_serve_won_diff": -16.400000000000006,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.8,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -35.419000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16294736842105262,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.016000000000000014,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0862663906142167,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}