Silvia Ambrosio vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 08:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ana Sofia Sanchez
Silvia …: 36,7% Ana …: 63,3%
¿Por qué Ana Sofia Sanchez?
UTR 11,47 vs 11,30 (+0,13) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Silvia … Ana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,49 2,70 67,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,72 1,58 36,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Silvia …: -27,8% Ana …: +27,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Silvia Ambrosio
Ranking #215
UTR Rating 11,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #275
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Ana Sofia Sanchez
Ranking #193
UTR Rating 11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #347
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 29% (7p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -25,0000
rank_ratio 0,8826
log_rank_ratio -0,1249
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -37,0000
best_rank_diff -30,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -25,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,0889
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,3267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -42,8100
first_serve_won_diff -51,4000
second_serve_won_diff -53,7000
bp_saved_diff -43,6000
bp_converted_diff -35,6000
aces_per_match_diff -0,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,3760
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 81,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 80,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,4851
serve_consistency_p2 8,6285
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,1213
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4750
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2750
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1300
utr_p1 0,4071
utr_p2 0,3918
utr_advantage 1,1409
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22725
API ID 15345351
Gamdom ID 589561
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22725,
    "api_id": 15345351,
    "gamdom_id": 589561,
    "player1": "Silvia Ambrosio",
    "player2": "Ana Sofia Sanchez",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T04:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.49,
      "p2": 2.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.367,
    "prob_p2": 0.633,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.633,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 215,
      "utr_singles": 11.47,
      "utr_ranking": 275,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 193,
      "utr_singles": 11.3,
      "utr_ranking": 347,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 28.57142857142857,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.47,
      "ranking": 275,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.3,
      "ranking": 347,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_p2": 0.39176470588235296,
    "utr_diff": 0.13000000000000078,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8826291079812206,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -37,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -43.6,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.1408512505484931,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -30,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.12485020287947594,
    "rank_advantage": -25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -35.6,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": -42.81,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -51.4,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.485100132579467,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.628530127375491,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.1212550719868988,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -53.7,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.3759999999999977,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 81,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 80,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.475,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.275,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.0888888888888872,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}