Silvia Ambrosio vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 08:05
13 Ene 2026, 08:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ana Sofia Sanchez
Silvia …: 36,7%
Ana …: 63,3%
¿Por qué Ana Sofia Sanchez?
UTR 11,47 vs 11,30
(+0,13)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Silvia … | Ana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,49 | 2,70 | 67,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,72 | 1,58 | 36,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Silvia …: -27,8%
Ana …: +27,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Silvia Ambrosio
Ranking
#215
UTR Rating
11,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#275
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Ana Sofia Sanchez
Ranking
#193
UTR Rating
11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#347
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
29% (7p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8826 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1249 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -37,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -30,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,0889 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -42,8100 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -51,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -53,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -43,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -35,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,3760 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 81,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4851 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6285 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,1213 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4750 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2750 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3918 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,1409 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22725
API ID
15345351
Gamdom ID
589561
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22725,
"api_id": 15345351,
"gamdom_id": 589561,
"player1": "Silvia Ambrosio",
"player2": "Ana Sofia Sanchez",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T04:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.48,
"p2": 2.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.367,
"prob_p2": 0.633,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.633,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 215,
"utr_singles": 11.47,
"utr_ranking": 275,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 193,
"utr_singles": 11.3,
"utr_ranking": 347,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 28.57142857142857,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.47,
"ranking": 275,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.3,
"ranking": 347,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_p2": 0.39176470588235296,
"utr_diff": 0.13000000000000078,
"rank_ratio": 0.8826291079812206,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -37,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -43.6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.1408512505484931,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -30,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.12485020287947594,
"rank_advantage": -25,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -25.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -35.6,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": -42.81,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -51.4,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.485100132579467,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.628530127375491,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.1212550719868988,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -53.7,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.3759999999999977,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 81,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 80,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.475,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.275,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.0888888888888872,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}