Sofia Costoulas vs Lanlana Tararudee
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 11:10
13 Ene 2026, 11:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lanlana Tararudee
Sofia …: 41,7%
Lanlana …: 58,4%
¿Por qué Lanlana Tararudee?
UTR 11,72 vs 11,89
(-0,14)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sofia … | Lanlana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,80 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,01 | 1,85 | 49,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,40 | 1,71 | 41,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sofia …: -6,9%
Lanlana …: +6,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sofia Costoulas
Ranking
#143
UTR Rating
11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking
#131
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -28,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8239 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1937 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -106,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -18,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,2143 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 32,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,8250 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,8500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 13,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,2750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 20,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,1609 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,6940 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,9056 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2220 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1280 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4447 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1956 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22726
API ID
15345353
Gamdom ID
589559
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22726,
"api_id": 15345353,
"gamdom_id": 589559,
"player1": "Sofia Costoulas",
"player2": "Lanlana Tararudee",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T07:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9090909090909092,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.01,
"p2": 1.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.96,
"p2": 1.79
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4165,
"prob_p2": 0.5835,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5835,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 143,
"utr_singles": 11.72,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 131,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.72,
"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4282352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.4447058823529411,
"utr_diff": -0.1399999999999988,
"rank_ratio": 0.8238993710691824,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -106,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 13.700000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": -1.1955593509820561,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -18,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.19370687901907993,
"rank_advantage": -28,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.2749999999999915,
"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.825000000000003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.850000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.16094021392676,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.694044884301343,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.905603185286199,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.999999999999993,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 20.300000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22199999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.128,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.214285714285714,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}