Storm Hunter vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Storm …: 27,3% Ekaterine …: 72,7%
¿Por qué Ekaterine Gorgodze?
UTR 11,54 vs 11,63 (-0,11) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Storm … Ekaterine … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 1,91 55,6%
Gamdom 1,82 2,04 54,9%
IA Fair Odds 3,66 1,38 27,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Storm …: -24,2% Ekaterine …: +24,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Storm Hunter
Ranking #367
UTR Rating 11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #266
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ranking #169
UTR Rating 11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #202
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -250,0000
rank_ratio 0,4131
log_rank_ratio -0,8840
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -253,0000
best_rank_diff -6,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -25,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,9667
surface_matches_ratio 2,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 25,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 25,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,6667
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,9200
first_serve_won_diff 1,3000
second_serve_won_diff -11,9000
bp_saved_diff -6,4000
bp_converted_diff 5,0000
aces_per_match_diff -2,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,6800
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,4319
serve_consistency_p2 5,0490
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 22,0989
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2500
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1100
utr_p1 0,4071
utr_p2 0,4200
utr_advantage -0,9553
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22727
API ID 15345342
Gamdom ID 589573
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22727,
    "api_id": 15345342,
    "gamdom_id": 589573,
    "player1": "Storm Hunter",
    "player2": "Ekaterine Gorgodze",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 1.9090909090909092
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.82,
      "p2": 2.04
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2731,
    "prob_p2": 0.7269,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7269,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 367,
      "utr_singles": 11.54,
      "utr_ranking": 266,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 169,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 202,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 11.54,
      "ranking": 266,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.63,
      "ranking": 202,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.42000000000000004,
    "utr_diff": -0.10999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4131455399061033,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": -253,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.399999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 7.105427357601002e-15,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9552757273121965,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -6,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8839553512312186,
    "rank_advantage": -250,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.920000000000002,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.2999999999999972,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.431879053006451,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.049035368234114,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 22.098883780780465,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -11.899999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.679999999999993,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.25,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.9666666666666655,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}