Tahlia Kokkinis vs Anouk Koevermans
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anouk Koevermans
Tahlia …: 21,1% Anouk …: 78,9%
¿Por qué Anouk Koevermans?
UTR 10,96 vs 11,56 (-0,48) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tahlia … Anouk … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,36 33,3%
Gamdom 2,60 1,52 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 4,73 1,27 21,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Tahlia …: -10,1% Anouk …: +10,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tahlia Kokkinis
Ranking #496
UTR Rating 10,96 Junior
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Anouk Koevermans
Ranking #194
UTR Rating 11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #232
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -295,0000
rank_ratio 0,3967
log_rank_ratio -0,9245
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -257,0000
best_rank_diff -319,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -40,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,4263
surface_matches_ratio 0,2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,6068
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -20,3100
first_serve_won_diff -9,3000
second_serve_won_diff -20,2000
bp_saved_diff -55,7000
bp_converted_diff -12,5000
aces_per_match_diff -4,8000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -28,6729
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,3172
serve_consistency_p2 9,4383
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 36,9802
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2050
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3950
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4800
utr_p1 0,3600
utr_p2 0,4165
utr_advantage -4,2478
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22728
API ID 15345348
Gamdom ID 589576
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22728,
    "api_id": 15345348,
    "gamdom_id": 589576,
    "player1": "Tahlia Kokkinis",
    "player2": "Anouk Koevermans",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3636363636363638
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.52
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.59,
      "p2": 1.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2113,
    "prob_p2": 0.7887,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7887,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 496,
      "utr_singles": 10.96,
      "utr_ranking": 28,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 194,
      "utr_singles": 11.56,
      "utr_ranking": 232,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.96,
      "ranking": 28,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.56,
      "ranking": 232,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.36000000000000004,
    "utr_p2": 0.41647058823529404,
    "utr_diff": -0.47999999999999865,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3967280163599182,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -257,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -55.7,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": -4.247787610619456,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -319,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.9245043304115438,
    "rank_advantage": -295,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -40.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -12.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": -20.310000000000002,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.8,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.299999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.317204301075268,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.438332315604514,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 36.98017321646175,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.60683760683761,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -20.199999999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -28.672857142857143,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20499999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.395,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.426324786324786,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}