Tamara Korpatsch vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Korpatsch
Tamara …: 79,3% Miriam …: 20,7%
¿Por qué Tamara Korpatsch?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tamara … Miriam … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
Gamdom 1,21 4,60 82,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,26 4,84 79,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Tamara …: +4,3% Miriam …: -4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Korpatsch
Ranking #124
UTR Rating 11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #155
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/20 = 50,0%
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Ranking #199
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 1/6 = 16,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 73,0000
rank_ratio 1,5935
log_rank_ratio 0,4659
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 228,0000
best_rank_diff 97,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 33,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,1361
surface_matches_ratio 3,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 16,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,6316
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,5233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,5107
first_serve_won_diff -5,5150
second_serve_won_diff 0,0450
bp_saved_diff -10,3050
bp_converted_diff 2,1350
aces_per_match_diff -0,3833
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,0210
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,3687
serve_consistency_p2 10,7956
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15,5310
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0730
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2603
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4494
utr_p2 0,4494
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22729
API ID 15345352
Gamdom ID 589563
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22729,
    "api_id": 15345352,
    "gamdom_id": 589563,
    "player1": "Tamara Korpatsch",
    "player2": "Miriam Bianca Bulgaru",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T03:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7933,
    "prob_p2": 0.2067,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7933,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 124,
      "utr_singles": 11.8,
      "utr_ranking": 155,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 199,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 16.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.8,
      "ranking": 155,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4494117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.4494117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5934959349593496,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 228,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.305,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 16.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 97,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.46593030385809975,
    "rank_advantage": 73,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 33.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.135000000000005,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.5106666666666655,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.3833333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5233333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.515000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.368663980707275,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.795635799044224,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.531010128603326,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.63157894736842,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.0449999999999946,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.3333333333333335,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.020999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07299999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2603333333333334,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.136140350877193,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}