Tamara Korpatsch vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:20
13 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Korpatsch
Tamara …: 79,3%
Miriam …: 20,7%
¿Por qué Tamara Korpatsch?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tamara … | Miriam … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,21 | 4,60 | 82,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,26 | 4,84 | 79,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tamara …: +4,3%
Miriam …: -4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Korpatsch
Ranking
#124
UTR Rating
11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#155
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
10/20 = 50,0%
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Ranking
#199
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
1/6 = 16,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 73,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5935 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4659 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 228,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 97,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,1361 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,6316 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,5107 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,5150 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0450 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,3050 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,1350 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,0210 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,3687 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,7956 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 15,5310 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0730 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2603 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4494 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4494 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22729
API ID
15345352
Gamdom ID
589563
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22729,
"api_id": 15345352,
"gamdom_id": 589563,
"player1": "Tamara Korpatsch",
"player2": "Miriam Bianca Bulgaru",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T03:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7933,
"prob_p2": 0.2067,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7933,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 124,
"utr_singles": 11.8,
"utr_ranking": 155,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 199,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 16.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.8,
"ranking": 155,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4494117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.4494117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.5934959349593496,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": 228,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.305,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 16.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 97,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.46593030385809975,
"rank_advantage": 73,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.135000000000005,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.5106666666666655,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.3833333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.5233333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.515000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.368663980707275,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.795635799044224,
"surface_rank_synergy": 15.531010128603326,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.63157894736842,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.0449999999999946,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.3333333333333335,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.020999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07299999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2603333333333334,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.136140350877193,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}