Tara Würth vs Claire Liu
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Claire Liu
Tara …: 44,6% Claire …: 55,4%
¿Por qué Claire Liu?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tara … Claire … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,40 1,30 29,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,24 1,80 44,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Tara …: +16,9% Claire …: -16,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tara Würth
Ranking #235
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Claire Liu
Ranking #227
UTR Rating 11,83 Pro
UTR Ranking #149
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -8,0000
rank_ratio 0,9655
log_rank_ratio -0,0351
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -11,0000
best_rank_diff -93,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,1579
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,2174
surface_matches_ratio 0,1053
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 63,1579
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,8696
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 19,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,6333
combined_confidence 0,4800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,1411
first_serve_won_diff -8,5000
second_serve_won_diff 5,1000
bp_saved_diff -26,7000
bp_converted_diff 22,1000
aces_per_match_diff -3,7105
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,7240
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 87,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3939
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 10,7627
serve_consistency_p2 3,5590
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,4617
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0080
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1236
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4518
utr_p2 0,4518
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22730
API ID 15345240
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22730,
    "api_id": 15345240,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tara W\u00fcrth",
    "player2": "Claire Liu",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T03:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.4,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.42,
      "p2": 1.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4458,
    "prob_p2": 0.5542,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5542,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 235,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 227,
      "utr_singles": 11.83,
      "utr_ranking": 149,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.83,
      "ranking": 149,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4517647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.4517647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9655172413793104,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -11,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -26.699999999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.1578947368421,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": -93,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.03509131981127006,
    "rank_advantage": -8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.157894736842103,
    "bp_converted_diff": 22.099999999999994,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 19,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.141052631578944,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.3939393939393939,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.7105263157894735,
    "combined_confidence": 0.48,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.500000000000007,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.762744287531083,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.558994777041764,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.4617278922535533,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.100000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.10526315789473684,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.7240000000000038,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 87,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.008000000000000007,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12357894736842101,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.21739130434783,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}