Yexin MA vs Varvara Lepchenko
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yexin MA
Yexin …: 69,7%
Varvara …: 30,3%
¿Por qué Yexin MA?
UTR 11,60 vs 11,56
(-0,04)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yexin … | Varvara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,41 | 1,60 | 41,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,43 | 3,30 | 69,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yexin …: +27,4%
Varvara …: -27,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yexin MA
Ranking
#225
UTR Rating
11,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#217
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Varvara Lepchenko
Ranking
#146
UTR Rating
11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#214
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/20 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -85,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6272 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4665 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -181,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -158,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 26,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,1452 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,8095 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 41,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5033 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,2000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,7000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,0060 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 77,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,8045 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5819 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -12,4400 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2517 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1850 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4224 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,3457 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22731
API ID
15345310
Gamdom ID
589598
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22731,
"api_id": 15345310,
"gamdom_id": 589598,
"player1": "Yexin MA",
"player2": "Varvara Lepchenko",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.41,
"p2": 1.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.35,
"p2": 1.56
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6974,
"prob_p2": 0.3026,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6974,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 225,
"utr_singles": 11.6,
"utr_ranking": 217,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 146,
"utr_singles": 11.56,
"utr_ranking": 214,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.6,
"ranking": 217,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.56,
"ranking": 214,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4223529411764706,
"utr_diff": -0.03999999999999915,
"rank_ratio": 0.6271929824561403,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -181,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.34572169403629344,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -158,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.46650099869453354,
"rank_advantage": -85,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 26.666666666666657,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.199999999999996,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.7,
"combined_confidence": 0.5033333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.299999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.80448498384117,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.581937780375838,
"surface_rank_synergy": -12.440026631854224,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.66666666666667,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.15,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 77,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 40,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2516666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18499999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.145238095238085,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}