Zhuoxuan Bai vs Alina Korneeva
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 05:45
13 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alina Korneeva
Zhuoxuan …: 49,2%
Alina …: 50,8%
¿Por qué Alina Korneeva?
UTR 11,00 vs 11,95
(-1,17)
— Ligera ventaja
Zhuoxuan …
W3-L4
43% WR
vs UTR 11,1
L1
Alina …
Sin datos
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Zhuoxuan … | Alina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,40 | 1,30 | 29,4% |
| Gamdom | 3,65 | 1,31 | 27,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,03 | 1,97 | 49,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Zhuoxuan …: +21,5%
Alina …: -21,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zhuoxuan Bai
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#497
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Alina Korneeva
Ranking
#212
UTR Rating
11,95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#118
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Zhuoxuan Bai
Record 2025
3W - 4L (43%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11,1
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
L
Alina Korneeva
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -290,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4200 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8675 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -344,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -372,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 26,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,1016 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,8095 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,4660 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,9600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,6200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,7800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 28,2700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,4000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 51,0204 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 49,0204 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 41,1292 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 73,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1627 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,9349 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -23,1333 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,4567 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3900 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4671 | |
| utr_advantage | -10,2767 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22732
API ID
15345312
Gamdom ID
589607
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22732,
"api_id": 15345312,
"gamdom_id": 589607,
"player1": "Zhuoxuan Bai",
"player2": "Alina Korneeva",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T01:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.4,
"p2": 1.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.65,
"p2": 1.31
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.54,
"p2": 1.28
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4917,
"prob_p2": 0.5083,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5083,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 497,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 3,
"utr_v4_losses": 4,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.09,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.8,
"opponent_name": "Dominika Salkova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.75,
"opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.3,
"opponent_name": "Ann Li"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Jiaqi Wang"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.98,
"opponent_name": "Priska Madelyn Nugroho"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:09.074347+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 212,
"utr_singles": 11.95,
"utr_ranking": 118,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 497,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.95,
"ranking": 118,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.46705882352941186,
"utr_diff": -1.17,
"rank_ratio": 0.42,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 51.02040816326531,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -344,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.779999999999994,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.3,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 49.02040816326531,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": -10.27667984189723,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -372,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8675005677047231,
"rank_advantage": -290,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 26.666666666666657,
"bp_converted_diff": 28.270000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.466000000000008,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.4000000000000004,
"combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.9600000000000151,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.1626903720168364,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.934863362687002,
"surface_rank_synergy": -23.13334847212594,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.6200000000000117,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 41.129204081632665,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 73,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.45666666666666655,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.39,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.101587301587298,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}