Zhuoxuan Bai vs Alina Korneeva
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alina Korneeva
Zhuoxuan …: 49,2% Alina …: 50,8%
¿Por qué Alina Korneeva?
UTR 11,00 vs 11,95 (-1,17) — Ligera ventaja
Zhuoxuan …
W3-L4
43% WR
vs UTR 11,1
L1
Alina …
Sin datos
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zhuoxuan … Alina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,40 1,30 29,4%
Gamdom 3,65 1,31 27,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,03 1,97 49,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Zhuoxuan …: +21,5% Alina …: -21,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zhuoxuan Bai
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #497
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 2/3 = 66,7%
Alina Korneeva
Ranking #212
UTR Rating 11,95 Pro
UTR Ranking #118
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Zhuoxuan Bai
Record 2025 3W - 4L (43%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,1
Últimos 5:
L W W L L
Alina Korneeva
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -290,0000
rank_ratio 0,4200
log_rank_ratio -0,8675
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -344,0000
best_rank_diff -372,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 26,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,1016
surface_matches_ratio 0,3000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,8095
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,8571
p1_surface_matches 3,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3400
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,3867
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,4660
first_serve_won_diff -0,9600
second_serve_won_diff -0,6200
bp_saved_diff 7,7800
bp_converted_diff 28,2700
aces_per_match_diff -3,4000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 51,0204
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 49,0204
weighted_momentum_diff 41,1292
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 73,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 7,1627
serve_consistency_p2 11,9349
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -23,1333
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,4567
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3900
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,1700
utr_p1 0,3294
utr_p2 0,4671
utr_advantage -10,2767
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22732
API ID 15345312
Gamdom ID 589607
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22732,
    "api_id": 15345312,
    "gamdom_id": 589607,
    "player1": "Zhuoxuan Bai",
    "player2": "Alina Korneeva",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T01:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.4,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.65,
      "p2": 1.31
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.54,
      "p2": 1.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4917,
    "prob_p2": 0.5083,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5083,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 497,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 3,
      "utr_v4_losses": 4,
      "utr_v4_wr": 42.857142857142854,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.09,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.8,
          "opponent_name": "Dominika Salkova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.75,
          "opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Ann Li"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jiaqi Wang"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.98,
          "opponent_name": "Priska Madelyn Nugroho"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:09.074347+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 212,
      "utr_singles": 11.95,
      "utr_ranking": 118,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 497,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.95,
      "ranking": 118,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.32941176470588246,
    "utr_p2": 0.46705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": -1.17,
    "rank_ratio": 0.42,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 51.02040816326531,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -344,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.779999999999994,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.3,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 49.02040816326531,
    "p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": -10.27667984189723,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -372,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8675005677047231,
    "rank_advantage": -290,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 26.666666666666657,
    "bp_converted_diff": 28.270000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 3,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.466000000000008,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.4000000000000004,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.9600000000000151,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.1626903720168364,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.934863362687002,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -23.13334847212594,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.809523809523796,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.6200000000000117,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 41.129204081632665,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 73,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.45666666666666655,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.39,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.101587301587298,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}