Anna Kalinskaya vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Kalinskaya
Anna …: 61,5% Elena-Gabriela …: 38,5%
¿Por qué Anna Kalinskaya?
UTR 12,44 vs 12,16 (+0,21) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna … Elena-Gabriela … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,30 61,7%
Gamdom 1,58 2,45 63,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,63 2,60 61,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna …: +2,8% Elena-Gabriela …: -2,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/29 = 55,2%
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Ranking #79
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #63
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 12/24 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 52,0000
rank_ratio 2,5758
log_rank_ratio 0,9461
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 636,0000
best_rank_diff 40,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,1724
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,0152
surface_matches_ratio 1,2083
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,1724
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,5455
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1034
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,8291
first_serve_won_diff -2,6167
second_serve_won_diff 5,5917
bp_saved_diff 1,2375
bp_converted_diff -4,1917
aces_per_match_diff -1,0991
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -27,8000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6489
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6154
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,1797
serve_consistency_p2 10,5060
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,8938
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0003
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0520
elite_surface_amplifier 5,1724
UTR
utr_diff 0,2100
utr_p1 0,5118
utr_p2 0,4871
utr_advantage 1,7150
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22733
API ID 15348389
Gamdom ID 590162
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22733,
    "api_id": 15348389,
    "gamdom_id": 590162,
    "player1": "Anna Kalinskaya",
    "player2": "Elena-Gabriela Ruse",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T02:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.45
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6147,
    "prob_p2": 0.3853,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6147,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 12.44,
      "utr_ranking": 28,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 79,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 63,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.44,
      "ranking": 28,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 63,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5117647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.4870588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.20999999999999908,
    "rank_ratio": 2.5757575757575757,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 636,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.2375000000000043,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.7149857084524218,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 40,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9461436950238362,
    "rank_advantage": 52,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.172413793103445,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.191666666666656,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.829109195402303,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.648936170212766,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0991379310344827,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.61666666666666,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.179718315900526,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.505965654405342,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.89384669839915,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.5916666666666615,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2083333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -27.80000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 5.172413793103445,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0002758620689655711,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.052000000000000046,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.01515151515151,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}