Anna Kalinskaya vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 06:20
12 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Kalinskaya
Anna …: 61,5%
Elena-Gabriela …: 38,5%
¿Por qué Anna Kalinskaya?
UTR 12,44 vs 12,16
(+0,21)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anna … | Elena-Gabriela … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,58 | 2,45 | 63,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,63 | 2,60 | 61,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anna …: +2,8%
Elena-Gabriela …: -2,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#63
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
12/24 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 52,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,5758 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9461 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 636,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 40,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,1724 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,0152 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2083 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1034 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,8291 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,6167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,5917 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,2375 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,1917 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0991 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27,8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6489 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,1797 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,5060 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,8938 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0003 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0520 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 5,1724 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5118 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7150 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22733
API ID
15348389
Gamdom ID
590162
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22733,
"api_id": 15348389,
"gamdom_id": 590162,
"player1": "Anna Kalinskaya",
"player2": "Elena-Gabriela Ruse",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T02:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.45
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.55,
"p2": 2.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6147,
"prob_p2": 0.3853,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6147,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 12.44,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 79,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 63,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 28,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 63,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4870588235294118,
"utr_diff": 0.20999999999999908,
"rank_ratio": 2.5757575757575757,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 636,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.2375000000000043,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -40.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.7149857084524218,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 40,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9461436950238362,
"rank_advantage": 52,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.172413793103445,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.191666666666656,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.829109195402303,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.648936170212766,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0991379310344827,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.61666666666666,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.179718315900526,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.505965654405342,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.89384669839915,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.5916666666666615,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2083333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.80000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 5.172413793103445,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0002758620689655711,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.052000000000000046,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.01515151515151,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}