Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 09:50
12 Ene 2026, 09:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Jaqueline …: 38,0%
Ekaterina …: 62,0%
¿Por qué Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jaqueline … | Ekaterina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,20 | 1,36 | 31,3% |
| Gamdom | 3,95 | 1,27 | 25,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,63 | 1,61 | 38,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jaqueline …: +8,1%
Ekaterina …: -8,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking
#35
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/34 = 55,9%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -28,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2632 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3350 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2051,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,1176 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,8278 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,2632 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,0909 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1176 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,8332 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,7963 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,8816 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,1603 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,2125 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8353 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 24,8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7018 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0568 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2222 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,3600 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,2928 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,4971 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0868 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0720 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5647 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22735
API ID
15348388
Gamdom ID
590157
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22735,
"api_id": 15348388,
"gamdom_id": 590157,
"player1": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"player2": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T05:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.2,
"p2": 1.3599999999999999
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.95,
"p2": 1.27
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.97,
"p2": 1.24
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3797,
"prob_p2": 0.6203,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6203,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 35,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 11,
"utr_singles": 12.74,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.74,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5647058823529413,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.2631578947368421,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -2051,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.160294117647055,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 40.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.88235294117647,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -28,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3350010667323402,
"rank_advantage": -28,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.117647058823529,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.2124999999999915,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.833235294117642,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7017543859649122,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0568181818181819,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.8352941176470585,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.796323529411765,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.11764705882352941,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.3599986992469,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.29275770993985,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.497063215956694,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.26315789473685,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.8816176470588246,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.85,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 24.80000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08682352941176474,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07199999999999995,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.827751196172244,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}