Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 09:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Jaqueline …: 38,0% Ekaterina …: 62,0%
¿Por qué Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jaqueline … Ekaterina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,20 1,36 31,3%
Gamdom 3,95 1,27 25,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,63 1,61 38,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Jaqueline …: +8,1% Ekaterina …: -8,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking #35
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/34 = 55,9%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking #11
UTR Rating 12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -28,0000
rank_ratio 0,2632
log_rank_ratio -1,3350
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -2051,0000
best_rank_diff -28,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,1176
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,8278
surface_matches_ratio 0,8500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,8824
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,2632
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,0909
p1_surface_matches 34,0000
p2_surface_matches 40,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1176
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,8332
first_serve_won_diff -3,7963
second_serve_won_diff -0,8816
bp_saved_diff -5,1603
bp_converted_diff -4,2125
aces_per_match_diff -1,8353
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 24,8000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7018
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0568
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2222
serve_consistency_p1 5,3600
serve_consistency_p2 11,2928
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,4971
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0868
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0720
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5647
utr_p2 0,5647
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22735
API ID 15348388
Gamdom ID 590157
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22735,
    "api_id": 15348388,
    "gamdom_id": 590157,
    "player1": "Jaqueline Cristian",
    "player2": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T05:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.2,
      "p2": 1.3599999999999999
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.95,
      "p2": 1.27
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.97,
      "p2": 1.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3797,
    "prob_p2": 0.6203,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6203,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 35,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 11,
      "utr_singles": 12.74,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.74,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
    "utr_p2": 0.5647058823529413,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2631578947368421,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -2051,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.160294117647055,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -28,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3350010667323402,
    "rank_advantage": -28,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.117647058823529,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.2124999999999915,
    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
    "p2_surface_matches": 40,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.833235294117642,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7017543859649122,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0568181818181819,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8352941176470585,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.796323529411765,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.11764705882352941,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.3599986992469,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.29275770993985,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.497063215956694,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.26315789473685,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.8816176470588246,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.85,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 24.80000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08682352941176474,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07199999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.827751196172244,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}