Adam Walton vs Quentin Halys
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 07:00
12 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adam Walton
Adam …: 64,7%
Quentin …: 35,3%
¿Por qué Adam Walton?
UTR 14,69 vs 14,75
(-0,01)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Adam … | Quentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,67 | 47,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,84 | 64,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Adam …: +20,5%
Quentin …: -20,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adam Walton
Ranking
#81
UTR Rating
14,69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#130
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
28/54 = 51,9%
Quentin Halys
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 14,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1818 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1671 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 63,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,4579 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,1836 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6364 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39,3939 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,7241 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,5405 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 54,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0370 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -16,2869 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,1067 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,1599 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,4064 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,3152 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,4428 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -36,0650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9588 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9620 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0357 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,7748 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,0811 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0045 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0921 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,0677 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22736
API ID
15346302
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22736,
"api_id": 15346302,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Adam Walton",
"player2": "Quentin Halys",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-12T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.6666666666666665
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.58,
"p2": 1.48
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6473,
"prob_p2": 0.3527,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6473,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 81,
"utr_singles": 14.69,
"utr_ranking": 130,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.69,
"ranking": 130,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 120,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7952941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.796470588235294,
"utr_diff": -0.009999999999999787,
"rank_ratio": 1.1818181818181819,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 63,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.4063973063973094,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.85185185185185,
"surface_wr_p2": 39.39393939393939,
"utr_advantage": -0.06772773450727929,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -28,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.16705408466316624,
"rank_advantage": 14,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.457912457912457,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.3151515151515163,
"p1_surface_matches": 54,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -16.286868686868694,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9587628865979382,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.442760942760944,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.1067340067340155,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.037037037037037035,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.035701425302525,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.774781468226157,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.081145162470421,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.724137931034484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1599326599326574,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6363636363636365,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -36.065,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.004518518518518477,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09206060606060606,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.183597390493944,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}