Adam Walton vs Quentin Halys
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adam Walton
Adam …: 64,7% Quentin …: 35,3%
¿Por qué Adam Walton?
UTR 14,69 vs 14,75 (-0,01) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Adam … Quentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,67 47,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,84 64,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Adam …: +20,5% Quentin …: -20,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adam Walton
Ranking #81
UTR Rating 14,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #130
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 28/54 = 51,9%
Quentin Halys
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #120
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 14,0000
rank_ratio 1,1818
log_rank_ratio 0,1671
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 63,0000
best_rank_diff -28,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,4579
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,1836
surface_matches_ratio 1,6364
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,8519
surface_wr_p2 39,3939
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,7241
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,5405
p1_surface_matches 54,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0370
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -16,2869
first_serve_won_diff -6,1067
second_serve_won_diff -1,1599
bp_saved_diff -2,4064
bp_converted_diff -3,3152
aces_per_match_diff -6,4428
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -36,0650
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9588
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9620
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6875
serve_consistency_p1 7,0357
serve_consistency_p2 6,7748
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,0811
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0045
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0921
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0100
utr_p1 0,7953
utr_p2 0,7965
utr_advantage -0,0677
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22736
API ID 15346302
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22736,
    "api_id": 15346302,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Adam Walton",
    "player2": "Quentin Halys",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-12T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.6666666666666665
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.58,
      "p2": 1.48
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6473,
    "prob_p2": 0.3527,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6473,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 81,
      "utr_singles": 14.69,
      "utr_ranking": 130,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 54,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 120,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.69,
      "ranking": 130,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 120,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.796470588235294,
    "utr_diff": -0.009999999999999787,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1818181818181819,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 63,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.4063973063973094,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.85185185185185,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.16705408466316624,
    "rank_advantage": 14,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.457912457912457,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.3151515151515163,
    "p1_surface_matches": 54,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -16.286868686868694,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9587628865979382,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -6.442760942760944,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.1067340067340155,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.037037037037037035,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.035701425302525,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.774781468226157,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.081145162470421,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.724137931034484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.1599326599326574,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6363636363636365,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -36.065,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.004518518518518477,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09206060606060606,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.183597390493944,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}