Kimberly Birrell vs Anastasia Potapova
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Potapova
Kimberly …: 28,8%
Anastasia …: 71,2%
¿Por qué Anastasia Potapova?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kimberly … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,80 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,17 | 1,73 | 46,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,47 | 1,40 | 28,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kimberly …: -18,5%
Anastasia …: +18,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -51,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5189 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6561 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -351,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -39,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,0449 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,8054 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1379 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,5758 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1515 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,2141 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,1458 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,5354 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,1277 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,4765 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3009 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,5200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,2059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6639 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,4820 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,2696 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6856 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1268 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0352 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4929 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22739
API ID
15348453
Gamdom ID
590393
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22739,
"api_id": 15348453,
"gamdom_id": 590393,
"player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
"player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.17,
"p2": 1.73
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.14,
"p2": 1.69
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2882,
"prob_p2": 0.7118,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7118,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.1,
"ranking": 78,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.5188679245283019,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -351,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.127690700104502,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -39,
"h2h_on_surface": 2,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6561059088795962,
"rank_advantage": -51,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.0449320794148278,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.476489028213152,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.2141379310344789,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6638655462184874,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.3009404388714736,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.145768025078368,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.482006787163792,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.2696035297415875,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.685586111681912,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.5354231974921646,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1379310344827587,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.519999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12675757575757585,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03520689655172404,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.8053508053508064,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}