Kimberly Birrell vs Anastasia Potapova
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Potapova
Kimberly …: 28,8% Anastasia …: 71,2%
¿Por qué Anastasia Potapova?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kimberly … Anastasia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,80 50,0%
Gamdom 2,17 1,73 46,1%
IA Fair Odds 3,47 1,40 28,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Kimberly …: -18,5% Anastasia …: +18,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #78
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -51,0000
rank_ratio 0,5189
log_rank_ratio -0,6561
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -351,0000
best_rank_diff -39,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,0449
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,8054
surface_matches_ratio 1,1379
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,5758
surface_wr_p2 58,6207
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,7568
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5758
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1515
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,2141
first_serve_won_diff -2,1458
second_serve_won_diff 1,5354
bp_saved_diff -2,1277
bp_converted_diff 4,4765
aces_per_match_diff -0,3009
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,5200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 2,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,2059
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6639
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 13,4820
serve_consistency_p2 7,2696
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6856
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1268
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0352
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4929
utr_p2 0,4929
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22739
API ID 15348453
Gamdom ID 590393
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22739,
    "api_id": 15348453,
    "gamdom_id": 590393,
    "player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
    "player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T02:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.17,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.14,
      "p2": 1.69
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2882,
    "prob_p2": 0.7118,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7118,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 12.1,
      "utr_ranking": 78,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
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      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
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      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 2,
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    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -351,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
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    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 2,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 4.476489028213152,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.2141379310344789,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6638655462184874,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.3009404388714736,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.145768025078368,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.482006787163792,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.2696035297415875,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.685586111681912,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
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    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.5354231974921646,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1379310344827587,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.519999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.8053508053508064,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}