Yulia Putintseva vs Dalma Galfi
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 10:00
13 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dalma Galfi
Yulia …: 42,8%
Dalma …: 57,2%
¿Por qué Dalma Galfi?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,26
(-0,23)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yulia … | Dalma … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,50 | 65,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,48 | 2,75 | 67,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,34 | 1,75 | 42,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yulia …: -19,3%
Dalma …: +19,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking
#94
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/32 = 46,9%
Dalma Galfi
Ranking
#91
UTR Rating
12,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#50
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/20 = 55,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 20,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2703 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2392 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 102,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 59,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,1250 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,7870 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,8750 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,1667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0625 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,4819 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,8656 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,2469 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,7788 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,4156 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,8375 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,2200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5574 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,3809 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,3588 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,9437 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0513 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0700 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4976 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,8985 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22741
API ID
15348454
Gamdom ID
590396
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22741,
"api_id": 15348454,
"gamdom_id": 590396,
"player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
"player2": "Dalma Galfi",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T06:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.48,
"p2": 2.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.77
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4276,
"prob_p2": 0.5724,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5724,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 94,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 91,
"utr_singles": 12.26,
"utr_ranking": 50,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.26,
"ranking": 50,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.49764705882352944,
"utr_diff": -0.23000000000000043,
"rank_ratio": 1.2702702702702702,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 102,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.778750000000002,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.00000000000001,
"utr_advantage": -1.8984729673957936,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 59,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.23922968906583406,
"rank_advantage": 20,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.125000000000007,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.4156250000000057,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.481874999999988,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6875,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.8375000000000004,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.865624999999987,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.3809338858214595,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.358797489562356,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.9437412236599034,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.166666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.2468749999999957,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.220000000000013,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05125000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07000000000000006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.787037037037035,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}