Yulia Putintseva vs Dalma Galfi
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dalma Galfi
Yulia …: 42,8% Dalma …: 57,2%
¿Por qué Dalma Galfi?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,26 (-0,23) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yulia … Dalma … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,50 65,4%
Gamdom 1,48 2,75 67,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,34 1,75 42,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Yulia …: -19,3% Dalma …: +19,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking #94
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Dalma Galfi
Ranking #91
UTR Rating 12,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #50
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/20 = 55,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 20,0000
rank_ratio 1,2703
log_rank_ratio 0,2392
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 102,0000
best_rank_diff 59,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,1250
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,7870
surface_matches_ratio 1,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,8750
surface_wr_p2 55,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,1667
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0625
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,4819
first_serve_won_diff -4,8656
second_serve_won_diff -1,2469
bp_saved_diff -9,7788
bp_converted_diff 2,4156
aces_per_match_diff -3,8375
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,2200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5574
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6875
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 3,3809
serve_consistency_p2 9,3588
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,9437
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0513
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0700
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2300
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4976
utr_advantage -1,8985
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22741
API ID 15348454
Gamdom ID 590396
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22741,
    "api_id": 15348454,
    "gamdom_id": 590396,
    "player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
    "player2": "Dalma Galfi",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.77
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4276,
    "prob_p2": 0.5724,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5724,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 94,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 91,
      "utr_singles": 12.26,
      "utr_ranking": 50,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.26,
      "ranking": 50,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.49764705882352944,
    "utr_diff": -0.23000000000000043,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2702702702702702,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 102,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.778750000000002,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.00000000000001,
    "utr_advantage": -1.8984729673957936,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 59,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.23922968906583406,
    "rank_advantage": 20,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.125000000000007,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.4156250000000057,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.481874999999988,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6875,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.8375000000000004,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.865624999999987,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.3809338858214595,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.358797489562356,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.9437412236599034,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.166666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.2468749999999957,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.220000000000013,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05125000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07000000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.787037037037035,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}