Stefan Palosi vs Ezequiel Monferrer
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 17:00
12 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefan Palosi
Stefan …: 76,1%
Ezequiel …: 23,9%
¿Por qué Stefan Palosi?
UTR 13,73 vs 12,78
(+0,98)
— Niveles similares
Stefan …
Sin datos
Ezequiel …
W23-L26
47% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Stefan … | Ezequiel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,00 | 67,00 | 99,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,31 | 4,18 | 76,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Stefan …: -22,4%
Ezequiel …: +22,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefan Palosi
Ranking
#484
UTR Rating
13,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#535
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Clay
4/7 = 57,1%
Ezequiel Monferrer
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1309
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Clay
1/8 = 12,5%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Stefan Palosi
Sin datos UTR v4
Ezequiel Monferrer
Record 2025
23W - 26L (47%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 44,6429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,1299 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 12,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,3247 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 22,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,5414 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 12,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2857 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,2222 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 16,6667 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,8520 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,1470 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0714 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5553 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,4186 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22742
API ID
15349443
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22742,
"api_id": 15349443,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Stefan Palosi",
"player2": "Ezequiel Monferrer",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-12T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0013333333333334,
"p2": 67.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 5.3
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7608,
"prob_p2": 0.2392,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7608,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 484,
"utr_singles": 13.73,
"utr_ranking": 535,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.78,
"utr_ranking": 1309,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 23,
"utr_v4_losses": 26,
"utr_v4_wr": 46.93877551020408,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.85,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Nicolas Zanellato"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.54,
"opponent_name": "Breno Braga"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.89,
"opponent_name": "Rafael Tosetto"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.73,
"opponent_name": "Pedro Sakamoto"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.03,
"opponent_name": "Eduardo Ribeiro"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:19.548557+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 12.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.73,
"ranking": 535,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.78,
"ranking": 1309,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6705882352941176,
"utr_p2": 0.5552941176470589,
"utr_diff": 0.9799999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_p2": 44.44444444444445,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.600000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 22.22222222222222,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 12.5,
"utr_advantage": 7.418622255866756,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 44.64285714285714,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.899999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 8,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.541428571428568,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2857142857142856,
"combined_confidence": 0.4,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.199999999999996,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.852017172858531,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.146968061097522,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 22.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": 12.899999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.875,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 16.666666666666664,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0714285714285714,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.375,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.129870129870127,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}