Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Juan Carlos Aguilar
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Joaquin …: 50,5% Juan …: 49,5%
¿Por qué Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo?
UTR 13,00 vs 13,34 (-0,34) — Niveles similares
Joaquin …
W40-L23
63% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W4
Juan …
W29-L22
57% WR
vs UTR 13,1
W4
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Joaquin … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,98 2,02 50,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,00 General
UTR Ranking #451
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 63% (8p)
WR Clay 8/15 = 53,3%
Juan Carlos Aguilar
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,34 Pro
UTR Ranking #815
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Clay 4/9 = 44,4%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Record 2025 40W - 23L (63%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 13,3
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Juan Carlos Aguilar
Record 2025 29W - 22L (57%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 13,1
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Análisis Momentum
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,8889
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,7499
surface_matches_ratio 1,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 44,4444
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4796
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,4600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,3311
first_serve_won_diff 4,6000
second_serve_won_diff -0,4000
bp_saved_diff 6,6000
bp_converted_diff 7,5000
aces_per_match_diff -1,7556
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 57,1429
momentum_diff 10,8571
weighted_momentum_diff 6,5014
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 15,6754
serve_consistency_p2 13,5870
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0333
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0556
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3400
utr_p1 0,5882
utr_p2 0,6282
utr_advantage -2,5816
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22743
API ID 15350609
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22743,
    "api_id": 15350609,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo",
    "player2": "Juan Carlos Aguilar",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-12T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 2.88
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5048,
    "prob_p2": 0.4952,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5048,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.0,
      "utr_ranking": 451,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 40,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.49206349206349,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.28,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.45,
          "opponent_name": "Mateo Carballo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.64,
          "opponent_name": "Francisco Tomas Geschwind"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.37,
          "opponent_name": "Maximo Zeitune"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.52,
          "opponent_name": "Felix Corwin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.7,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Estevez"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.264846+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 62.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.34,
      "utr_ranking": 815,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.86274509803921,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.06,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kazuki Nakajima"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Abhinav Rakesh"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tyler Davis"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "maestri grespky lorenzo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.05,
          "opponent_name": "Christoph Negritu"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:58.585275+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.0,
      "ranking": 451,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.34,
      "ranking": 815,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.628235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.599999999999994,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 10.857142857142847,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
    "utr_advantage": -2.5816249050873186,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.888888888888893,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.331111111111106,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.7555555555555553,
    "combined_confidence": 0.45999999999999996,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.599999999999994,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.675365058003711,
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    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.47963800904977,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.501428571428576,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.033333333333333326,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05555555555555558,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.7498928316265765,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}