Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Juan Carlos Aguilar
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 17:00
12 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Joaquin …: 50,5%
Juan …: 49,5%
¿Por qué Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo?
UTR 13,00 vs 13,34
(-0,34)
— Niveles similares
Joaquin …
W40-L23
63% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W4
Juan …
W29-L22
57% WR
vs UTR 13,1
W4
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joaquin … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,98 | 2,02 | 50,5% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,00 General
UTR Ranking
#451
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Clay
8/15 = 53,3%
Juan Carlos Aguilar
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#815
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Clay
4/9 = 44,4%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Record 2025
40W - 23L (63%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Juan Carlos Aguilar
Record 2025
29W - 22L (57%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
13,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,8889 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,7499 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4796 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,3311 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7556 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,5014 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 15,6754 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,5870 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0333 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0556 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6282 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,5816 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22743
API ID
15350609
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22743,
"api_id": 15350609,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo",
"player2": "Juan Carlos Aguilar",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-12T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.37,
"p2": 2.88
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5048,
"prob_p2": 0.4952,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5048,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.0,
"utr_ranking": 451,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 40,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.49206349206349,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.28,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.45,
"opponent_name": "Mateo Carballo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.64,
"opponent_name": "Francisco Tomas Geschwind"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.37,
"opponent_name": "Maximo Zeitune"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.52,
"opponent_name": "Felix Corwin"
},
{
"win": false,
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"opponent_name": "Juan Estevez"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.264846+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.34,
"utr_ranking": 815,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 56.86274509803921,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.06,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Kazuki Nakajima"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Abhinav Rakesh"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Tyler Davis"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 6.0,
"opponent_name": "maestri grespky lorenzo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.05,
"opponent_name": "Christoph Negritu"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:58.585275+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.0,
"ranking": 451,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.34,
"ranking": 815,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.628235294117647,
"utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.599999999999994,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 10.857142857142847,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
"utr_advantage": -2.5816249050873186,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.888888888888893,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.331111111111106,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7555555555555553,
"combined_confidence": 0.45999999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.599999999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 15.675365058003711,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.586956521739129,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.47963800904977,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.501428571428576,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.033333333333333326,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05555555555555558,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.7498928316265765,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}