Sebastian Gima vs Lucio Ratti
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Gima
Sebastian …: 64,0% Lucio …: 36,0%
¿Por qué Sebastian Gima?
UTR 13,56 vs 13,53 (+0,15) — Niveles similares
Sebastian …
W42-L36
54% WR
vs UTR 13,6
L2
Lucio …
W56-L29
66% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sebastian … Lucio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,56 2,78 64,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Sebastian …: +8,2% Lucio …: -8,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Gima
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #648
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Clay 1/2 = 50,0%
Lucio Ratti
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #670
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Clay 4/10 = 40,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sebastian Gima
Record 2025 42W - 36L (54%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 13,6
Últimos 5:
L L W W W
Lucio Ratti
Record 2025 56W - 29L (66%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Sebastian Gima ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,6 vs 12,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,7143
surface_matches_ratio 0,2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,8571
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,3800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -45,6500
first_serve_won_diff -59,5000
second_serve_won_diff -45,0000
bp_saved_diff -53,3000
bp_converted_diff -40,5000
aces_per_match_diff -1,2000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3333
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 66,6667
momentum_p2 44,4444
momentum_diff 22,2222
weighted_momentum_diff 16,6667
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0313
serve_consistency_p2 14,2406
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1500
utr_p1 0,6624
utr_p2 0,6447
utr_advantage 1,1066
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22744
API ID 15350633
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22744,
    "api_id": 15350633,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sebastian Gima",
    "player2": "Lucio Ratti",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-12T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.68,
      "p2": 2.07
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6397,
    "prob_p2": 0.3603,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6397,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.56,
      "utr_ranking": 648,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 42,
      "utr_v4_losses": 36,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.84615384615385,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.55,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.06,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Mejia"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.1,
          "opponent_name": "Andres Andrade"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.55,
          "opponent_name": "Alan Sau Franco"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kyle Seelig"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.23,
          "opponent_name": "Viktor Markov"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:32.616378+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.53,
      "utr_ranking": 670,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 56,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.88235294117646,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.86,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.77,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Manuel La Serna"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.39,
          "opponent_name": "Hady Habib"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "bautista de la Pena"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.83,
          "opponent_name": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.27,
          "opponent_name": "Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:27.088757+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.56,
      "ranking": 648,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.53,
      "ranking": 670,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6623529411764707,
    "utr_p2": 0.6447058823529412,
    "utr_diff": 0.15000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 66.66666666666667,
    "momentum_p2": 44.44444444444445,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -53.3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 22.22222222222222,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.106602729620069,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -40.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": -45.65,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.2,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -59.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.031264654260042,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.24062382880247,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -45.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.666666666666664,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09999999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7142857142857153,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}