Sebastian Gima vs Lucio Ratti
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 17:00
12 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Gima
Sebastian …: 64,0%
Lucio …: 36,0%
¿Por qué Sebastian Gima?
UTR 13,56 vs 13,53
(+0,15)
— Niveles similares
Sebastian …
W42-L36
54% WR
vs UTR 13,6
L2
Lucio …
W56-L29
66% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastian … | Lucio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,56 | 2,78 | 64,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sebastian …: +8,2%
Lucio …: -8,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Gima
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#648
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Clay
1/2 = 50,0%
Lucio Ratti
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#670
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Clay
4/10 = 40,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sebastian Gima
Record 2025
42W - 36L (54%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
13,6
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
W
W
Lucio Ratti
Record 2025
56W - 29L (66%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Sebastian Gima ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,6 vs 12,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,7143 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -45,6500 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -59,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -45,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -53,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -40,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,2000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,2222 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 16,6667 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0313 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,2406 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6624 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6447 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,1066 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22744
API ID
15350633
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22744,
"api_id": 15350633,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebastian Gima",
"player2": "Lucio Ratti",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-12T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.68,
"p2": 2.07
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6397,
"prob_p2": 0.3603,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6397,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.56,
"utr_ranking": 648,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 42,
"utr_v4_losses": 36,
"utr_v4_wr": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.55,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.06,
"opponent_name": "Nicolas Mejia"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.1,
"opponent_name": "Andres Andrade"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.55,
"opponent_name": "Alan Sau Franco"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Kyle Seelig"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.23,
"opponent_name": "Viktor Markov"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:32.616378+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.53,
"utr_ranking": 670,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 56,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.88235294117646,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.86,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.77,
"opponent_name": "Juan Manuel La Serna"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 14.39,
"opponent_name": "Hady Habib"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "bautista de la Pena"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.83,
"opponent_name": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.27,
"opponent_name": "Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:27.088757+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.56,
"ranking": 648,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.53,
"ranking": 670,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6623529411764707,
"utr_p2": 0.6447058823529412,
"utr_diff": 0.15000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_p2": 44.44444444444445,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -53.3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 22.22222222222222,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.106602729620069,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -40.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": -45.65,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2,
"combined_confidence": 0.38,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -59.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.031264654260042,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.24062382880247,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": -45.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 16.666666666666664,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09999999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7142857142857153,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}