Marina Bassols Ribera vs Luisina Giovannini
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 10:55
13 Ene 2026, 10:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Luisina Giovannini
Marina …: 40,9%
Luisina …: 59,1%
¿Por qué Luisina Giovannini?
UTR 11,63 vs 11,57
(-0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marina … | Luisina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,41 | 3,00 | 70,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,44 | 1,69 | 40,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Marina …: -27,8%
Luisina …: +27,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marina Bassols Ribera
Ranking
#238
UTR Rating
11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#205
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Luisina Giovannini
Ranking
#221
UTR Rating
11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#224
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9322 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0702 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -23,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 115,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,9841 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 29,5238 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 42,5300 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 49,5500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 55,8500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 20,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 35,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,1900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 34,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 36,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 17,2981 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,3678 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4840 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5160 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4141 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4271 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9503 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22747
API ID
15351549
Gamdom ID
591796
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22747,
"api_id": 15351549,
"gamdom_id": 591796,
"player1": "Marina Bassols Ribera",
"player2": "Luisina Giovannini",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T06:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 3.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.39,
"p2": 2.87
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4095,
"prob_p2": 0.5905,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5905,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 238,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 205,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 221,
"utr_singles": 11.57,
"utr_ranking": 224,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.63,
"ranking": 205,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.57,
"ranking": 224,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4141176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
"utr_diff": -0.11000000000000121,
"rank_ratio": 0.9322033898305084,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": -23,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 20.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -0.9503239740820839,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 115,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.07020425867324857,
"rank_advantage": -16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 35.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 42.53,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 49.55,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 17.298059056521904,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.367794062301819,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 29.523809523809526,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 20.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 55.85,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.190000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 34,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 36,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.484,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.516,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.9841269841269846,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}