Marina Bassols Ribera vs Luisina Giovannini
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 10:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Luisina Giovannini
Marina …: 40,9% Luisina …: 59,1%
¿Por qué Luisina Giovannini?
UTR 11,63 vs 11,57 (-0,11) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marina … Luisina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,41 3,00 70,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,44 1,69 40,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Marina …: -27,8% Luisina …: +27,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marina Bassols Ribera
Ranking #238
UTR Rating 11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #205
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Luisina Giovannini
Ranking #221
UTR Rating 11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #224
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -16,0000
rank_ratio 0,9322
log_rank_ratio -0,0702
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -23,0000
best_rank_diff 115,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,9841
surface_matches_ratio 2,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 29,5238
surface_wr_p2_stable 20,0000
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 42,5300
first_serve_won_diff 49,5500
second_serve_won_diff 55,8500
bp_saved_diff 20,0000
bp_converted_diff 35,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -21,1900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 34,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 36,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 17,2981
serve_consistency_p2 14,3678
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4840
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5160
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1100
utr_p1 0,4141
utr_p2 0,4271
utr_advantage -0,9503
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22747
API ID 15351549
Gamdom ID 591796
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22747,
    "api_id": 15351549,
    "gamdom_id": 591796,
    "player1": "Marina Bassols Ribera",
    "player2": "Luisina Giovannini",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T06:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.39,
      "p2": 2.87
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4095,
    "prob_p2": 0.5905,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5905,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 238,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 205,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 221,
      "utr_singles": 11.57,
      "utr_ranking": 224,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.63,
      "ranking": 205,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.57,
      "ranking": 224,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4141176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
    "utr_diff": -0.11000000000000121,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9322033898305084,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": -23,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 20.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9503239740820839,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 115,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.07020425867324857,
    "rank_advantage": -16,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 35.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 42.53,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 49.55,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 17.298059056521904,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.367794062301819,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 29.523809523809526,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 20.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 55.85,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.190000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 34,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 36,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.484,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.516,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.9841269841269846,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}