Juan Estevez vs Ignacio Monzon
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 19:10
12 Ene 2026, 19:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ignacio Monzon
Juan …: 42,8%
Ignacio …: 57,2%
¿Por qué Ignacio Monzon?
UTR 13,91 vs 13,00
(+0,82)
— Niveles similares
Juan …
Sin datos
Ignacio …
W35-L28
56% WR
vs UTR 12,8
W3
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Ignacio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,33 | 83,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,33 | 1,75 | 42,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: -35,5%
Ignacio …: +35,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Estevez
Ranking
#455
UTR Rating
13,91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#429
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Clay
3/10 = 30,0%
Ignacio Monzon
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1097
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
12/24 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Juan Estevez
Sin datos UTR v4
Ignacio Monzon
Record 2025
35W - 28L (56%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
12,8
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 31,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0661 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0640 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 93,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 31,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,8095 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4167 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 35,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,5100 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,1429 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,2122 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,2801 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2310 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0310 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5859 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,1240 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22749
API ID
15350983
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22749,
"api_id": 15350983,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Estevez",
"player2": "Ignacio Monzon",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-12T15:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.16,
"p2": 4.66
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4283,
"prob_p2": 0.5717,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5717,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 455,
"utr_singles": 13.91,
"utr_ranking": 429,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.0,
"utr_ranking": 1097,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 35,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.79,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Ivan Rodrigo Gonzalez Huerta"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Javier Guzman"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.36,
"opponent_name": "Alessio Vasquez"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.7,
"opponent_name": "Juan Estevez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.9,
"opponent_name": "Leonel Cesar Castro"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:41.199874+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.91,
"ranking": 429,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.0,
"ranking": 1097,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6823529411764707,
"utr_p2": 0.5858823529411765,
"utr_diff": 0.8200000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 1.0660980810234542,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 93,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5999999999999872,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -2.857142857142854,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 6.123973114264379,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 31,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.06400532997591238,
"rank_advantage": 31,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -20.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.100000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.509999999999991,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.050000000000000044,
"combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.333333333333329,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.212227703679063,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.2801065995182475,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.714285714285715,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.199999999999989,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4166666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.142857142857139,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.23100000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.031000000000000028,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.80952380952381,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}