Juan Estevez vs Ignacio Monzon
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 19:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ignacio Monzon
Juan …: 42,8% Ignacio …: 57,2%
¿Por qué Ignacio Monzon?
UTR 13,91 vs 13,00 (+0,82) — Niveles similares
Juan …
Sin datos
Ignacio …
W35-L28
56% WR
vs UTR 12,8
W3
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Ignacio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,20 4,33 83,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,33 1,75 42,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: -35,5% Ignacio …: +35,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Estevez
Ranking #455
UTR Rating 13,91 Pro
UTR Ranking #429
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Clay 3/10 = 30,0%
Ignacio Monzon
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1097
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 12/24 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Juan Estevez
Sin datos UTR v4
Ignacio Monzon
Record 2025 35W - 28L (56%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 12,8
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 31,0000
rank_ratio 1,0661
log_rank_ratio 0,0640
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 93,0000
best_rank_diff 31,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -20,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,8095
surface_matches_ratio 0,4167
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 30,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 35,7143
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,6167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,5100
first_serve_won_diff -0,1000
second_serve_won_diff -5,2000
bp_saved_diff 1,6000
bp_converted_diff -12,1000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 57,1429
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -2,8571
weighted_momentum_diff -2,1429
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,3333
serve_consistency_p2 7,2122
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,2801
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2310
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0310
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,8200
utr_p1 0,6824
utr_p2 0,5859
utr_advantage 6,1240
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22749
API ID 15350983
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22749,
    "api_id": 15350983,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Estevez",
    "player2": "Ignacio Monzon",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-12T15:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.16,
      "p2": 4.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4283,
    "prob_p2": 0.5717,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5717,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 455,
      "utr_singles": 13.91,
      "utr_ranking": 429,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 30.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1097,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 35,
      "utr_v4_losses": 28,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.55555555555556,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.79,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ivan Rodrigo Gonzalez Huerta"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Javier Guzman"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.36,
          "opponent_name": "Alessio Vasquez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.7,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Estevez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.9,
          "opponent_name": "Leonel Cesar Castro"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:41.199874+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.91,
      "ranking": 429,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.0,
      "ranking": 1097,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6823529411764707,
    "utr_p2": 0.5858823529411765,
    "utr_diff": 0.8200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0660980810234542,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 93,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.5999999999999872,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -2.857142857142854,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 6.123973114264379,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 31,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.06400532997591238,
    "rank_advantage": 31,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -20.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -12.100000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.509999999999991,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.050000000000000044,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.333333333333329,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.212227703679063,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.2801065995182475,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.714285714285715,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.199999999999989,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4166666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.142857142857139,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.23100000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.031000000000000028,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.80952380952381,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}