Valerio Aboian vs Juan Bautista Otegui
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 19:40
12 Ene 2026, 19:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valerio Aboian
Valerio …: 69,1%
Juan …: 30,9%
¿Por qué Valerio Aboian?
UTR 13,68 vs 12,95
(+0,76)
— Niveles similares
Valerio …
W30-L19
61% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W1
Juan …
W34-L30
53% WR
vs UTR 12,7
L3
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Valerio … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,45 | 3,23 | 69,1% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valerio Aboian
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#569
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Clay
10/18 = 55,6%
Juan Bautista Otegui
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1143
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Clay
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Valerio Aboian
Record 2025
30W - 19L (61%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Juan Bautista Otegui
Record 2025
34W - 30L (53%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
12,7
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Valerio Aboian ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,3 vs 12,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23,0824 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 18,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4567 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,7522 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6111 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,9796 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -51,0204 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -37,8061 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,5118 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0556 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5800 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,7100 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22750
API ID
15351269
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22750,
"api_id": 15351269,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Valerio Aboian",
"player2": "Juan Bautista Otegui",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-12T15:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.37,
"p2": 2.98
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6908,
"prob_p2": 0.3092,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6908,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.68,
"utr_ranking": 569,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 19,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.224489795918366,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.32,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.43,
"opponent_name": "Rocco Valente"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.77,
"opponent_name": "Thiago Cigarran"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.36,
"opponent_name": "Lucca Pinto"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.16,
"opponent_name": "Tadeo Meneo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.94,
"opponent_name": "Samuel Heredia"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.009638+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.95,
"utr_ranking": 1143,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 34,
"utr_v4_losses": 30,
"utr_v4_wr": 53.125,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.69,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.6,
"opponent_name": "Filippo Romano"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.14,
"opponent_name": "Felix Gill"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.48,
"opponent_name": "Giuseppe La Vela"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Stefan Kostic"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.92,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Farjat"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:59.483033+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.68,
"ranking": 569,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.95,
"ranking": 1143,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6694117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.58,
"utr_diff": 0.7599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.9795918367347,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -51.0204081632653,
"p1_confidence": 0.6,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 5.70999248685199,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 55.55555555555556,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.100000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 18,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.752222222222223,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6111111111111107,
"combined_confidence": 0.45666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.400000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.511845287589527,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1000000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 18.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -37.80612244897959,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05555555555555558,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.08242424242424,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}