Skye Madatali vs Katerina Mandelikova
UTR Boca Raton W01 | Hard |
16 Ene 2026, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Katerina Mandelikova
Skye …: 22,7% Katerina …: 77,4%
¿Por qué Katerina Mandelikova?
UTR 9,00 vs 10,30 (-1,28) — Ligera ventaja
Skye …
W29-L23
56% WR
vs UTR 8,7
W1
Katerina …
W34-L19
64% WR
vs UTR 9,4
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Skye … Katerina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,50 1,10 15,4%
Gamdom 5,68 1,04 17,6%
IA Fair Odds 4,42 1,29 22,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Skye …: +8,2% Katerina …: -8,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Skye Madatali
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #3083
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 43% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Katerina Mandelikova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,30 General
UTR Ranking #1247
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 78% (9p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Skye Madatali
Record 2025 29W - 23L (56%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 8,7
Últimos 5:
W L L W W
Katerina Mandelikova
Record 2025 34W - 19L (64%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,4
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Análisis Momentum
Katerina Mandelikova ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,4 vs 8,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,3500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,6122
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -9,3878
weighted_momentum_diff -7,0408
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 31,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,1269
serve_consistency_p2 9,8175
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2800
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,2682
utr_advantage -13,2780
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22844
API ID 15337654
Gamdom ID 585407
Torneo UTR Boca Raton W01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22844,
    "api_id": 15337654,
    "gamdom_id": 585407,
    "player1": "Skye Madatali",
    "player2": "Katerina Mandelikova",
    "tournament": "UTR Boca Raton W01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-16T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.5,
      "p2": 1.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.68,
      "p2": 1.04
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.76,
      "p2": 1.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2265,
    "prob_p2": 0.7735,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7735,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3083,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.769230769230774,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.69,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Monika Tekic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Calla Mcgill"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Chloe Zigliara"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Danielle Young"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Aashi Patel"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:36.405563+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.3,
      "utr_ranking": 1247,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 34,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.15094339622641,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.4,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ishika Ashar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.38,
          "opponent_name": "Maddy Zampardo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.23,
          "opponent_name": "Lara Smejkal"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.11,
          "opponent_name": "Alexia Iulia MARGINEAN"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.3,
          "opponent_name": "Maribella Zamarripa"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:07.235047+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 3083,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.3,
      "ranking": 1247,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.26823529411764696,
    "utr_diff": -1.2799999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.612244897959183,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.35,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -9.387755102040817,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -13.278008298755179,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.126864613542086,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.817481443077606,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.040816326530617,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 31,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}